NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	114		Excitement	3.8 [1027]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (LAL): +17.8%
Sacramento Kings	92		Comeback	2.1 [845]		LVP	Francisco Garcia (SAC): -11.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.02	-0.01	14	70%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.01	0.05	15	76%	0.16	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	11	67%	0.07	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	89%	0.09	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	36%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.05	11	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	6	58%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.04	-0.04	1	50%	0.06	1	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Kevin Martin	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	11	63%	0.10	2	-0.04	13	85%	0.02
Mikki Moore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	10	52%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	8	31%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	64%	-0.03	3	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	20	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	11	45%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	7	29%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.0	34.2	15.6	26.0	2.8	27.6	135.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +40.8%

SAC -2.3%

LAL +13.3%

SAC -2.3%

LAL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	14.4	15.2	15.4	117.5	93.9	105.7
season	14.6	14.9		110.6	105.6
opponent	15.0	15.2		108.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.0	15.2	13.3	16.0	14.4
SAC	14.7	14.8	17.2	14.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	71	72	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.44	35	-13	48	13.7	16.3	-2.63	15.7	13.7	1.94
Lamar Odom	73	73	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.08	20	2	18	14.3	14.7	-0.43	16.7	10.7	5.95
Pau Gasol	76	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.27	22	0	22	14.2	15.1	-0.97	15.6	13.6	1.96
Derek Fisher	55	54	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.26	20	2	18	13.9	15.0	-1.05	16.6	13.4	3.12
Kobe Bryant	72	73	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.22	18	4	14	14.4	14.4	-0.02	15.5	14.1	1.44
Sasha Vujacic	42	44	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	20	-18	15.0	13.9	1.05	13.4	16.6	-3.12
Jordan Farmar	41	42	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	21	-20	15.2	13.8	1.37	13.7	16.2	-2.56
Ira Newble	23	24	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.19	-5	27	-32	15.5	14.0	1.49	11.5	16.3	-4.78
Ronny Turiaf	26	26	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	25	-28	15.0	14.2	0.85	14.2	15.5	-1.31
DJ Mbenga	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	14.3	14.4	-0.05	9.3	15.5	-6.20

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Douby	41	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.13	-8	-14	6	14.2	15.8	-1.65	15.5	13.7	1.84
Francisco Garcia	37	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-14	6	14.3	15.7	-1.33	14.7	14.2	0.58
Metta World Peace	54	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	-14	6	16.4	13.6	2.75	13.4	15.6	-2.17
Shelden Williams	45	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.18	-15	-7	-8	14.4	15.8	-1.47	15.7	13.3	2.45
John Salmons	52	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.22	-17	-5	-12	13.4	17.2	-3.81	15.3	13.3	2.00
Mikki Moore	64	65	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-9	-4	15.9	13.7	2.26	14.0	15.2	-1.30
Anthony Johnson	59	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	-4	-14	15.1	15.2	-0.13	14.0	15.0	-1.01
Spencer Hawes	77	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-10	-2	15.6	13.6	1.95	14.1	15.5	-1.40
Kevin Martin	61	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	-11	0	16.0	13.7	2.29	13.8	15.4	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 110, GSW 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
DAL 109, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0	95.5%
LAL 109, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%