NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	120		Excitement	11.0 [32]		MVP	Nick Young (WAS): +48.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	126		Comeback	9.6 [197]		LVP	Roger Mason Jr. (WAS): -14.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.49	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.43,0.43,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.49	0.18	0.29	-0.01	16	75%	0.63	1	-0.15	4	100%	0.04
DeShawn Stevenson	0.28	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.25	0.03	0.00	15	84%	0.28	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.04
Dominic McGuire	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.03,0.25,0.25,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.01	-0.04	0.04	0.00	17	47%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Antonio Daniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	15	49%	0.01	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.04
Darius Songaila	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andray Blatche	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	7	36%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.35	0.35	0.21	0.13	-0.00	9	100%	0.35	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.07	0.02	8	90%	0.24	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.01,0.13,0.07,0.14,-0.03,-0.03,0.17	0.17	-0.05	0.22	-0.00	24	41%	0.21	1	-0.03	15	80%	0.12
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.02	0.00	11	82%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.08	0.00	5	60%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	12	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	8	45%	0.06	3	-0.18	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.6	2.0	30.2	16.7	27.1	3.5	30.4	2.5	16.3	153.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -27.6%

LAL +51.9%

LAL +25.6%

LAL +1.8%

WAS -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAL	NBA	WAS	LAL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.9	15.4	120.0	128.6	105.7
season	16.1	14.6		106.8	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.5		104.1	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	17.7	16.8	14.0	18.0	14.4	16.2
LAL	16.6	16.0	14.8	16.3	15.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andray Blatche	31	30	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.07	-1	-5	4	14.1	17.2	-3.17	15.3	16.1	-0.87
Antonio Daniels	7	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-3	0	17.4	16.2	1.27	18.8	15.7	3.16
Roger Mason Jr.	49	49	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-8	10	16.5	16.0	0.43	16.5	15.3	1.20
Caron Butler	78	76	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.25	6	-12	18	16.2	16.6	-0.44	16.0	15.4	0.59
Antawn Jamison	80	77	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.31	6	-12	18	16.9	13.4	3.50	16.0	15.2	0.80
Darius Songaila	24	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.11	-9	3	-12	16.2	16.2	-0.00	15.2	16.1	-0.91
Dominic McGuire	16	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	3	-12	15.2	16.5	-1.26	16.6	15.7	0.94
DeShawn Stevenson	81	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-6	6	16.4	15.5	0.96	15.4	18.0	-2.58
Brendan Haywood	62	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.32	-5	-1	-4	16.9	15.2	1.68	15.8	16.1	-0.29
Nick Young	61	58	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	5	-16	16.0	16.7	-0.68	15.8	16.0	-0.27

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	37	35	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.35	20	-14	34	14.3	16.8	-2.52	15.1	16.8	-1.70
Luke Walton	49	51	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-6	18	15.6	16.1	-0.55	15.8	16.7	-0.83
Kobe Bryant	84	86	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	2	2	16.5	12.0	4.51	16.5	14.8	1.70
DJ Mbenga	21	22	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	-1	8	14.0	16.4	-2.38	13.9	16.9	-3.06
Jordan Farmar	30	31	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	-7	20	15.0	16.2	-1.20	15.5	16.6	-1.16
Lamar Odom	85	87	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.31	-5	11	-16	15.6	17.5	-1.93	16.5	14.7	1.79
Ronny Turiaf	70	71	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	9	-12	16.7	13.8	2.86	17.0	14.4	2.54
Chris Mihm	7	7	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	4	-2	13.3	16.1	-2.78	16.3	16.2	0.04
Vladimir Radmanovic	49	50	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	12	-18	16.1	15.6	0.55	16.4	16.1	0.26
Derek Fisher	58	60	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.02	-14	20	-34	16.7	14.6	2.14	16.9	15.3	1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.71,0.58,0.73,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.81,0.78,0.44,0.9,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.14,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 93, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.69,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.67,0.85,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,1	89.2%
GSW 114, OKC 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.93,0.46,0.76,0.55,0.22,0.28,1	88.4%
CHH 86, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.69,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.27,1	88.2%