NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	105		Excitement	5.4 [701]		MVP	Allen Iverson (DEN): +15.9%
Denver Nuggets	118		Comeback	4.2 [589]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (DEN): -5.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Antoine Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	3	100%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.02	0.03	12	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	15	55%	0.02	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Brandon Bass	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	4	75%	0.06	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	11	70%	0.13	6	-0.17	5	80%	0.01
Josh Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.07	-0.05	0.06	24	54%	0.01	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.04

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.04	0.03	21	65%	0.20	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	20	59%	0.16	3	-0.07	14	71%	0.04
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	65%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	54%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	10	40%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	3.6	34.3	19.4	31.3	3.5	30.3	148.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +8.5%

DEN +17.2%

DAL -4.9%

DEN +22.7%

DEN +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	DEN	NBA	DAL	DEN	NBA
this game	15.9	14.6	15.4	111.7	124.2	105.7
season	16.1	13.3		108.9	108.2
opponent	15.2	15.4		105.4	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.5	17.6	18.7	13.7	15.9
DEN	13.7	12.4	12.1	21.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyronn Lue	7	8	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-11	9	16.9	15.8	1.08	12.6	14.8	-2.18
Eddie Jones	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-11	9	18.0	15.8	2.21	17.3	14.5	2.80
Juwan Howard	21	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-11	9	15.8	15.9	-0.13	15.0	14.5	0.51
Antoine Wright	19	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.06	-5	-8	3	16.5	15.7	0.77	12.5	15.2	-2.75
Jason Terry	51	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-15	17	15.2	16.6	-1.37	16.4	12.3	4.10
Brandon Bass	19	20	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-10	7	17.4	15.5	1.89	15.4	14.4	1.05
Josh Howard	84	86	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-8	3	15.6	17.9	-2.28	14.7	14.2	0.44
Erick Dampier	64	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	3	-19	16.7	14.1	2.54	13.2	17.2	-4.07
Malik Allen	57	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	-6	-1	15.0	17.2	-2.19	14.5	14.9	-0.41
Jason Kidd	82	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-2	-9	15.8	16.5	-0.73	15.1	11.9	3.27
Jerry Stackhouse	63	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.02	-14	1	-15	16.0	15.7	0.27	14.4	15.1	-0.68

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	88	87	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-3	19	14.8	12.0	2.83	15.4	21.1	-5.71
J.R. Smith	51	49	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-4	21	16.5	12.5	4.04	15.5	16.2	-0.69
Kenyon Martin	72	73	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.00	15	-2	17	14.1	16.3	-2.28	15.8	16.0	-0.18
Eduardo Najera	38	36	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	2	9	15.9	13.8	2.12	14.6	16.7	-2.07
Linas Kleiza	30	30	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	5	3	14.4	14.7	-0.37	17.0	15.3	1.62
Marcus Camby	72	70	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.18	2	11	-9	14.7	14.4	0.30	15.8	16.1	-0.30
Carmelo Anthony	72	73	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.17	1	12	-11	14.4	15.4	-1.02	16.2	14.8	1.42
Anthony Carter	47	48	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	16	-19	12.1	17.0	-4.89	16.5	15.2	1.22
Chucky Atkins	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	17.0	14.6	2.43	21.5	15.7	5.76
Nene	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	17.0	14.6	2.43	21.5	15.7	5.76
Yakhouba Diawara	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	19.0	14.6	4.43	0.0	15.9	-15.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 76, WAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
ATL 76, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
OKC 91, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.4%