NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	76		Excitement	2.7 [1225]		MVP	Ronnie Brewer (UTA): +10.7%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	1.1 [1286]		LVP	Al Jefferson (MIN): -13.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Snyder	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	10	80%	0.02
Craig Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	61%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Randy Foye	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	15	53%	0.03	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mark Madsen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Rashad McCants	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.02	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Richard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	15	34%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.00	0.01	11	73%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	10	67%	0.08	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.05	15	58%	0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	12	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	8	30%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	3	-0.05	5	40%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	0.00	0.09	8	63%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	0.8	33.2	15.8	25.5	1.8	32.2	133.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +37.9%

MIN -3.7%

UTA +12.5%

UTA +1.4%

UTA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	16.7	15.4	85.4	118.0	105.7
season	15.9	15.5		102.2	111.2
opponent	15.0	15.0		105.0	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	18.6	15.1	16.0	13.2	15.6
UTA	17.4	13.7	17.5	18.7	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-29	29	9.0	16.3	-7.28	15.0	16.9	-1.90
Michael Doleac	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-20	11	11.4	16.3	-4.87	14.5	17.1	-2.57
Craig Smith	31	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-25	21	14.5	16.2	-1.71	18.5	15.8	2.79
Marko Jaric	17	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.12	-6	-23	17	15.8	15.6	0.17	18.4	16.4	2.01
Chris Richard	33	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-30	31	15.7	15.6	0.11	20.7	14.6	6.06
Rashad McCants	48	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-17	5	15.7	15.5	0.17	19.2	13.9	5.29
Sebastian Telfair	64	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	-11	-7	15.5	16.1	-0.63	16.0	18.7	-2.65
Ryan Gomes	52	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.20	-18	-11	-7	16.6	14.3	2.28	15.0	19.0	-3.96
Kirk Snyder	57	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.21	-22	-7	-15	15.6	15.7	-0.09	16.5	17.1	-0.61
Al Jefferson	55	55	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.23	-25	-4	-21	17.0	13.5	3.49	15.9	18.1	-2.15
Randy Foye	68	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.42	-32	3	-35	15.9	14.7	1.26	15.4	21.0	-5.59

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	57	56	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.38	32	-3	35	15.7	18.6	-2.91	16.9	13.4	3.50
Deron Williams	57	56	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.34	29	0	29	15.2	19.5	-4.32	16.9	13.5	3.46
Ronnie Brewer	51	51	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.23	25	4	21	16.3	17.3	-0.93	16.9	13.9	2.93
Mehmet Okur	61	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	10	9	16.9	16.5	0.39	16.7	13.1	3.55
CJ Miles	48	47	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.41	24	5	19	17.0	16.4	0.68	16.0	15.2	0.79
Kyle Korver	42	41	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.11	10	19	-9	16.5	16.9	-0.44	15.0	16.2	-1.21
Paul Millsap	45	45	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	25	-21	18.4	15.1	3.29	14.2	17.1	-2.98
Matt Harpring	31	33	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	30	-31	17.9	16.1	1.75	15.2	15.9	-0.66
Jason Hart	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	24	-19	16.1	16.8	-0.71	10.0	16.3	-6.34
Ronnie Price	28	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	34	-39	19.4	15.5	3.88	13.7	16.6	-2.88
Jarron Collins	15	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.10	3	26	-23	15.3	17.0	-1.68	10.5	16.6	-6.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 109, WAS 129	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MIN 69, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CLE 84, PHI 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%