NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	98		Excitement	3.5 [1086]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +16.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	103		Comeback	1.1 [382]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -7.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07	0.18	-0.01	0.11	19	65%	0.07	1	-0.01	14	100%	0.03
Jason Maxiell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.02,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	19	52%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	8	52%	-0.00	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	5	8%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	16	38%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.02	0.00	11	75%	0.20	2	-0.03	14	86%	0.02
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	11	73%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	0.02	-0.07	15	38%	0.02	2	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	13	39%	0.00	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	30.7	17.0	23.7	1.7	42.0	142.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +28.8%

MIL +5.3%

MIL +10.7%

MIL +5.1%

MIL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIL	NBA	DET	MIL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.4	105.4	109.6	105.7
season	16.8	15.8		108.8	103.4
opponent	15.2	15.8		110.7	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.4	17.6	17.3	11.4	15.4
MIL	14.2	16.0	16.2	15.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-5	5	13.5	15.6	-2.11	17.6	15.1	2.41
Amir Johnson	31	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.41	13	-18	31	12.0	17.1	-5.15	15.9	15.1	0.79
Jarvis Hayes	19	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-7	9	14.5	15.7	-1.14	14.8	15.5	-0.66
Jason Maxiell	32	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	0	-5	16.1	15.1	1.01	15.6	15.2	0.38
Rodney Stuckey	30	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	4	-13	16.4	15.0	1.48	15.1	15.5	-0.45
Chauncey Billups	73	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-9	13	15.1	16.8	-1.75	15.5	14.7	0.80
Rasheed Wallace	75	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-5	5	15.2	16.6	-1.40	15.3	15.6	-0.26
Tayshaun Prince	74	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.25	-6	1	-7	15.7	14.5	1.14	15.3	15.6	-0.26
Antonio McDyess	48	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.09	-19	14	-33	17.6	13.1	4.54	15.2	15.5	-0.27
Richard Hamilton	75	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	0	-5	15.6	14.7	0.88	15.1	16.5	-1.43

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	72	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	5	-5	15.4	15.4	-0.05	15.0	16.7	-1.68
Bobby Simmons	30	29	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	-8	21	16.4	14.9	1.51	16.3	15.0	1.23
Yi Jianlian	51	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	5	-5	15.9	14.7	1.16	13.8	17.2	-3.37
Mo Williams	60	61	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.36	-3	8	-11	14.8	16.3	-1.49	15.1	16.1	-1.06
Michael Redd	69	67	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	7	-9	15.2	15.9	-0.75	15.4	15.5	-0.15
Charlie Bell	50	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.35	-4	9	-13	15.9	14.8	1.04	13.5	17.7	-4.13
Royal Ivey	24	22	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.01	8	-3	11	16.2	15.1	1.12	16.8	15.0	1.82
Charlie Villanueva	43	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	0	5	14.7	15.9	-1.16	17.2	13.8	3.37
Desmond Mason	49	50	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	2	1	14.8	16.0	-1.25	16.7	13.9	2.83
Dan Gadzuric	22	23	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	0	5	15.4	15.4	0.05	16.7	15.0	1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 89, LAL 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
CLE 90, DET 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
GSW 77, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%