inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 105 Excitement3.5 [1083] MVPJose Calderon (TOR): +11.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves 82 Comeback1.2 [942] LVPSebastian Telfair (MIN): -9.6%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jose Calderon0.120,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.010.014115%0.162-0.045100%0.02
Jamario Moon0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.010.014100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Carlos Delfino0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.040.01-0.08939%0.061-0.0000%0.00
Andrea Bargnani0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.020.011062%0.092-0.04650%-0.00
Jason Kapono0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.021060%0.041-0.0200%0.00
T.J. Ford0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.00-0.03647%0.021-0.003100%0.01
Anthony Parker0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.01-0.031338%0.0200.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00667%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Joey Graham0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.001248%0.042-0.04580%0.01
Kris Humphries-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.00533%-0.0300.002100%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marko Jaric0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.01685%0.103-0.0510%-0.01
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02944%0.0300.0000%0.00
Al Jefferson0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.02-0.021651%0.071-0.05367%-0.01
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.060.01-0.061040%0.022-0.0100%0.00
Gerald Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03557%0.003-0.004100%0.00
Mark Madsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Greg Buckner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.02550%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Rashad McCants0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.01-0.01729%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Craig Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.000.03562%0.012-0.04367%-0.00
Ryan Gomes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.020.01531%-0.051-0.03367%-0.01
Sebastian Telfair0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.010.001027%-0.081-0.012100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.326.415.625.52.430.5127.9
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +36.2%
TOR +8.9%
MIN -1.0%
TOR +3.7%
TOR +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMINNBATORMINNBA
this game15.115.415.4111.786.3105.7
season15.615.9108.5102.2
opponent15.015.7109.6105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.215.116.913.615.1
MIN14.816.818.212.615.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrea Bargnani61620.52-0.020.53-0.162302314.516.1-1.6315.515.20.35
Chris Bosh66650.360.140.23-0.021310316.112.73.4016.014.11.96
Anthony Parker54550.330.170.150.06914-516.613.03.5116.014.61.36
Jamario Moon33320.310.190.120.08815-716.514.32.1417.514.33.20
Jose Calderon47460.310.190.120.011013-316.713.43.2816.314.61.73
Rasho Nesterovic43450.280.220.06-0.071211114.315.7-1.4515.615.20.36
T.J. Ford47490.190.31-0.12-0.191310313.416.7-3.2814.616.3-1.73
Carlos Delfino53550.190.31-0.12-0.101013-314.915.2-0.2815.016.0-1.06
Jason Kapono40400.170.33-0.15-0.24149513.016.6-3.5114.616.0-1.36
Joey Graham880.000.50-0.50-0.15518-1310.115.5-5.4010.015.9-5.91
Kris Humphries1818-0.160.66-0.82-0.10-225-2715.215.00.1312.316.1-3.87

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Madsen880.00-0.500.500.15-5-181310.015.9-5.9110.115.5-5.40
Greg Buckner880.00-0.500.500.15-5-181310.015.9-5.9110.115.5-5.40
Gerald Green2928-0.03-0.470.440.06-3-201713.116.4-3.3713.215.9-2.69
Antoine Walker3837-0.04-0.460.41-0.071-242515.715.20.4616.114.41.77
Randy Foye5553-0.15-0.350.200.23-13-10-315.315.6-0.3714.915.2-0.32
Rashad McCants1817-0.16-0.340.180.02-6-171116.115.30.8014.415.2-0.80
Craig Smith3433-0.18-0.320.130.23-14-9-514.216.1-1.8313.016.2-3.18
Al Jefferson6869-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.03-10-13315.914.11.8716.112.14.06
Corey Brewer3839-0.32-0.18-0.150.03-12-11-115.715.20.4115.314.90.42
Ryan Gomes5756-0.33-0.17-0.170.05-13-10-316.214.22.0016.013.72.36
Sebastian Telfair6668-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.00-16-7-916.213.62.5814.815.7-0.92
Marko Jaric5654-0.48-0.02-0.460.08-19-4-1516.114.41.6516.113.62.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 129, BKN 1090.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%
GSW 107, MEM 840.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
PHX 106, IND 830.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%