NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	102		Excitement	6.7 [430]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +25.7%
Toronto Raptors	98		Comeback	5.0 [49]		LVP	Jose Calderon (TOR): -12.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.26	0.18	0.10	0.02	15	81%	0.41	6	-0.15	13	92%	0.07
Cuttino Mobley	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.01	12	63%	0.21	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Al Thornton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	13	63%	0.22	5	-0.15	4	25%	-0.13
Quinton Ross	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	43%	0.00	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.09	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	14	57%	0.08	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	9	61%	0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	17	62%	0.21	3	-0.08	13	100%	0.09
Jamario Moon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	13	53%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	14	44%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13	-0.13	-0.00	-0.10	0.03	8	65%	-0.05	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	35.2	16.7	25.5	1.8	36.2	139.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +80.2%

TOR -8.9%

LAC +13.6%

TOR -35.7%

LAC +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	TOR	NBA	LAC	TOR	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	15.4	105.2	101.0	105.7
season	15.6	15.6		99.5	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.1		105.6	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.7	13.4	15.0	15.4	14.9
TOR	16.3	14.8	16.3	12.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Powell	41	40	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.31	13	-9	22	14.4	15.2	-0.72	14.8	14.9	-0.10
Al Thornton	68	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	-1	6	14.5	15.7	-1.19	14.3	16.2	-1.87
Cuttino Mobley	83	83	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	1	2	15.0	14.3	0.67	14.9	14.6	0.22
Corey Maggette	87	85	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.37	-1	5	-6	14.7	15.8	-1.05	14.6	16.4	-1.80
Dan Dickau	29	30	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	-1	6	15.2	14.7	0.45	15.2	14.7	0.58
Brevin Knight	68	67	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.26	-1	5	-6	14.7	15.2	-0.45	14.7	15.2	-0.58
Chris Kaman	73	74	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	2	0	16.1	11.2	4.90	15.4	12.9	2.52
Quinton Ross	13	14	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	5	-6	9.8	15.6	-5.78	13.3	15.1	-1.81
Tim Thomas	23	22	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	9	-14	15.7	14.6	1.10	16.3	14.4	1.92

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamario Moon	60	60	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.29	15	-19	34	14.5	15.3	-0.75	16.0	12.9	3.13
Jose Calderon	70	71	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-8	12	14.7	15.1	-0.38	15.3	13.7	1.59
Andrea Bargnani	72	73	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-8	12	14.3	16.4	-2.11	16.0	11.5	4.51
Jason Kapono	24	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.20	0	-4	4	13.4	15.3	-1.94	12.5	15.6	-3.07
Anthony Parker	77	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-3	2	14.9	14.5	0.42	15.1	13.8	1.34
Rasho Nesterovic	35	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	2	-8	15.2	14.6	0.62	12.8	16.0	-3.13
T.J. Ford	27	26	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	4	-12	15.1	14.7	0.38	13.7	15.3	-1.59
Chris Bosh	83	84	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.34	-9	5	-14	15.5	11.0	4.48	15.1	13.2	1.88
Carlos Delfino	37	37	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.09	-19	15	-34	15.3	14.5	0.75	12.9	16.0	-3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.46,0.3,0.29,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.27,0.26,0.06,0.03,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 93, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.52,0.46,0.3,0.35,0.24,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.01,0	92.4%
DAL 98, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	91.9%
POR 114, MIA 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.68,0.58,0.38,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.22,0.31,0.15,0.01,0.02,0	91.5%