NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	95		Excitement	8.6 [144]		MVP	Tyronn Lue (ATL): +33.2%
Atlanta Hawks	98		Comeback	6.2 [137]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -35.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.09	0.01	7	71%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.00	12	66%	0.24	4	-0.12	5	40%	-0.12
Derek Fisher	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.00	11	71%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.08
Luke Walton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	8	56%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.04	0.02	10	65%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	14	40%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.35	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.29,-0.29,-0.19,-0.35	-0.11	-0.24	-0.00	16	30%	-0.19	1	-0.16	5	60%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.48,0.33	0.33	0.10	0.23	-0.01	10	73%	0.48	1	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.08	0.03	20	61%	0.29	3	-0.16	6	100%	0.13
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	11	68%	0.11	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	13	52%	0.10	1	-0.09	3	100%	0.04
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	17	33%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	30.0	15.0	22.1	1.8	39.0	135.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +25.4%

ATL +35.3%

ATL +6.6%

LAL -14.4%

LAL -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ATL	NBA	LAL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.8	14.9	15.4	103.3	102.1	105.7
season	14.6	15.4		110.6	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.2		107.2	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.1	12.8	17.3	19.4	15.8
ATL	14.1	17.0	12.8	15.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	38	40	0.48	-0.98	1.46	0.13	12	-15	27	14.9	16.4	-1.58	16.7	13.6	3.10
Jordan Farmar	32	33	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.10	2	-5	7	16.6	15.3	1.27	16.3	14.1	2.24
Vladimir Radmanovic	63	67	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.08	-1	-2	1	16.1	15.1	0.96	13.7	17.7	-4.00
Ronny Turiaf	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	1	-5	16.7	15.5	1.19	13.9	15.1	-1.23
Pau Gasol	71	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.52	1	-4	5	15.5	16.7	-1.19	15.1	13.9	1.23
Kobe Bryant	73	76	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.44	-7	4	-11	15.7	16.3	-0.66	14.0	18.1	-4.15
Lamar Odom	63	66	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.48	-6	3	-9	15.4	16.6	-1.16	15.1	14.3	0.77
Derek Fisher	60	63	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.52	-5	2	-7	15.3	16.6	-1.27	14.1	16.3	-2.24
Sasha Vujacic	39	39	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.53	-7	4	-11	17.1	14.9	2.18	16.4	13.8	2.52

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	67	65	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.49	6	-3	9	14.3	16.1	-1.82	16.2	14.8	1.44
Josh Childress	59	59	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	1	1	15.7	13.5	2.20	16.6	14.3	2.28
Joe Johnson	86	83	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	-2	7	14.3	19.5	-5.17	16.1	12.7	3.47
Al Horford	79	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.48	-1	4	-5	14.9	14.5	0.48	16.0	14.9	1.06
Tyronn Lue	41	41	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.23	1	2	-1	16.6	13.6	2.96	16.8	15.0	1.82
Marvin Williams	73	69	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	1	1	14.3	16.7	-2.35	15.4	16.8	-1.38
Mario West	6	5	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	3	-3	13.5	15.0	-1.46	2.6	16.6	-13.95
Anthony Johnson	53	49	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.04	2	1	1	14.1	15.8	-1.72	15.4	16.2	-0.74
Zaza Pachulia	16	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	5	-7	17.8	14.3	3.54	12.2	16.5	-4.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.37,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.14,0.24,0.39,0.47,0.64,0.45,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 107, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.78,0.68,0.74,1	92.2%
LAC 89, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.33,0.45,0.54,0.43,0.92,1	92.0%
UTA 86, MIL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.58,1	91.4%