NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	83		Excitement	4.6 [867]		MVP	Al Jefferson (MIN): +18.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Comeback	4.6 [500]		LVP	Al Thornton (LAC): -12.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Josh Powell	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	15	53%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	52%	0.07	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Brevin Knight	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	7	19%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Sam Cassell	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	12	59%	0.05	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.02
Al Thornton	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.19	-0.01	-0.08	15	24%	-0.08	2	-0.04	11	73%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.15	0.05	0.01	17	62%	0.21	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.04	0.07	11	84%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	12	58%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	5	50%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.02	17	53%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	9	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	29.4	15.7	26.2	2.0	26.3	128.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +15.8%

MIN +0.6%

MIN +14.3%

MIN +20.1%

LAC -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	15.7	15.5	15.4	90.2	111.8	105.7
season	15.6	15.9		99.5	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.1		109.6	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.6	15.2	15.0	19.5	15.7
MIN	15.7	15.5	15.0	15.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Powell	48	50	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.13	4	-25	29	16.4	14.9	1.51	16.0	14.8	1.16
Dan Dickau	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-20	19	19.7	15.3	4.46	17.4	15.2	2.19
Brevin Knight	36	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.09	-7	-14	7	17.6	14.5	3.09	15.6	15.4	0.24
Quinton Ross	46	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	-10	-1	15.9	15.5	0.39	15.2	15.7	-0.55
Cuttino Mobley	75	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.13	-16	-5	-11	15.9	14.7	1.19	15.4	15.7	-0.30
Sam Cassell	56	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-8	-5	14.5	17.6	-3.09	15.3	15.7	-0.44
Al Thornton	82	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.11	-20	-1	-19	16.0	13.4	2.55	15.5	15.5	0.01
Tim Thomas	63	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	-7	-7	14.2	18.8	-4.61	15.5	15.4	0.02
Aaron Williams	46	45	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	0.01	-27	6	-33	15.2	16.2	-1.04	14.9	16.0	-1.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Smith	52	53	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.23	28	-7	35	15.0	16.0	-0.96	16.5	14.5	2.06
Ryan Gomes	67	65	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.10	22	-1	23	15.6	15.2	0.32	14.6	18.2	-3.55
Marko Jaric	63	63	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.21	24	-3	27	15.6	15.3	0.29	15.8	15.4	0.38
Al Jefferson	59	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	12	-3	15.8	14.9	0.82	14.7	17.3	-2.59
Corey Brewer	53	53	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	11	-1	15.6	15.3	0.33	14.9	16.8	-1.90
Gerald Green	25	26	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	16	-11	14.4	15.9	-1.45	15.5	15.7	-0.19
Randy Foye	48	46	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	16	-11	15.7	15.2	0.47	16.0	15.3	0.74
Michael Doleac	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	16.0	15.5	0.55	28.0	15.5	12.46
Rashad McCants	26	26	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.12	4	17	-13	14.3	15.9	-1.55	17.2	15.1	2.17
Antoine Walker	32	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.16	5	16	-11	15.3	15.5	-0.23	17.4	14.8	2.61
Sebastian Telfair	38	36	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.08	-6	27	-33	16.3	14.9	1.49	15.4	15.8	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 107, SEA 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.91,1	94.6%
SAC 93, DAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
BOS 100, GSW 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%