NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	9.4 [86]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +22.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	95		Comeback	7.2 [106]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -36.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.22	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.22	0.03	0.20	0.01	32	54%	0.41	5	-0.19	12	67%	-0.12
Ira Newble	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	15	44%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Daniel Gibson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	53%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Devin Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	4	10%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,-0.14	0.02	-0.14	0.02	13	62%	0.12	3	-0.27	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.00	5	90%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.08	-0.01	8	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.06
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	-0.00	6	44%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.02	5	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.08
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	11	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	-0.00	5	80%	0.11	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.12	0.00	9	58%	-0.04	3	-0.09	6	67%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.15,-0.01,-0.36	-0.36	0.04	-0.39	0.01	21	55%	0.03	3	-0.40	18	72%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	43.3	3.8	33.2	17.7	32.4	4.6	45.0	180.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +41.9%

LAL -9.6%

LAL -17.3%

CLE +18.2%

CLE +16.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAL	NBA	CLE	LAL	NBA
this game	16.3	14.7	15.4	104.3	103.3	105.7
season	16.4	14.6		104.0	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.2		104.1	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.2	14.9	17.3	15.7	16.3
LAL	13.3	16.4	14.0	14.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Hughes	70	67	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.61	2	1	1	15.8	17.8	-2.02	13.9	16.7	-2.82
Ira Newble	35	33	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.59	0	3	-3	15.1	17.0	-1.96	13.0	15.6	-2.55
Drew Gooden	67	64	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.66	-3	6	-9	15.7	17.7	-1.99	13.5	17.4	-3.92
LeBron James	87	85	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.45	-3	6	-9	16.5	13.6	2.93	14.3	19.6	-5.31
Anderson Varejao	30	31	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	-10	23	16.5	16.2	0.26	15.5	14.3	1.19
Devin Brown	32	32	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.16	3	0	3	18.1	15.4	2.69	16.6	13.6	2.96
Daniel Gibson	36	36	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.11	-1	4	-5	16.9	15.9	0.93	15.1	14.4	0.64
Damon Jones	35	35	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.26	3	0	3	16.8	16.0	0.82	16.3	13.6	2.71
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	54	54	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.12	-4	7	-11	16.5	16.0	0.50	15.6	13.3	2.30

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	58	58	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.04	6	-9	15	15.2	13.7	1.52	16.9	15.3	1.59
Sasha Vujacic	32	34	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.05	2	-5	7	15.4	14.3	1.14	18.8	14.9	3.88
Kobe Bryant	82	84	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.26	8	-11	19	14.2	18.2	-3.97	16.8	12.3	4.46
Vladimir Radmanovic	10	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	1	-5	14.5	14.7	-0.18	13.3	16.6	-3.34
Luke Walton	66	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.36	2	-5	7	14.7	14.5	0.17	15.3	18.6	-3.35
Jordan Farmar	40	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	6	-15	16.0	13.6	2.37	17.6	15.2	2.39
Derek Fisher	62	63	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.50	-5	2	-7	14.4	15.3	-0.90	14.8	19.4	-4.58
Lamar Odom	75	77	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.56	-3	0	-3	14.3	16.2	-1.93	16.2	16.6	-0.37
Ronny Turiaf	35	37	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.45	-12	9	-21	13.8	15.2	-1.44	15.8	16.6	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.58,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.88,0.78,0.76,0.53,0.25,0.21,0.43,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 111, NJN 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.16,0.16,0.09,0	89.9%
SAS 93, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.65,0.47,0.31,0.45,0.68,0.29,0	89.6%
DEN 113, HOU 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.6,0.38,0.21,0.1,0.1,0	89.6%