NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	90		Excitement	5.1 [769]		MVP	Emeka Okafor (CHA): +17.1%
Chicago Bulls	77		Comeback	1.2 [515]		LVP	Thabo Sefolosha (CHI): -9.4%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.01	13	78%	0.24	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.03	11	68%	0.14	1	-0.01	9	78%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	55%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Carroll	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	8	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.02	-0.07	13	34%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.02
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	12	32%	0.00	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Jeff McInnis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.00	23	50%	0.09	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Demetris Nichols	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	16	41%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	8	37%	-0.07
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	16	38%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	27.1	15.4	31.3	1.8	31.2	131.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +43.3%

CHA +16.0%

CHI -4.4%

CHI -6.3%

CHA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	18.8	13.8	15.4	102.3	86.5	105.7
season	15.8	15.0		103.1	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.1		105.4	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	18.0	15.9	21.8	20.0	18.8
CHI	12.8	15.4	14.2	12.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	75	77	0.73	-0.23	0.97	-0.09	28	-15	43	18.3	21.5	-3.13	14.1	11.7	2.44
Gerald Wallace	81	83	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.01	21	-8	29	18.8	18.7	0.09	13.6	16.5	-2.92
Raymond Felton	65	66	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-3	19	18.1	20.7	-2.51	13.4	14.8	-1.42
Nazr Mohammed	43	46	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	6	1	20.3	17.4	2.95	13.2	14.4	-1.15
Jason Richardson	65	66	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.12	3	10	-7	17.9	21.3	-3.34	14.3	12.4	1.87
Matt Carroll	42	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	6	1	18.7	18.8	-0.11	13.9	13.7	0.24
Ryan Hollins	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	18.5	18.8	-0.30	4.0	13.9	-9.89
Jeff McInnis	45	44	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	17	-21	19.5	18.1	1.42	15.0	12.6	2.42
Jared Dudley	22	21	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.20	-9	22	-31	20.6	18.2	2.45	11.9	14.4	-2.51

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	21	20	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-13	13	13.2	14.0	-0.77	17.1	19.3	-2.19
Aaron Gray	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	11.7	13.8	-2.18	20.7	18.7	1.94
Demetris Nichols	10	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.07	2	-15	17	10.7	14.2	-3.46	20.5	18.5	2.00
Adrian Griffin	7	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-12	11	9.6	14.1	-4.56	22.3	18.5	3.80
Tyrus Thomas	33	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-10	7	14.0	13.6	0.36	17.4	19.7	-2.30
Joakim Noah	40	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-8	3	15.5	12.3	3.22	20.1	17.7	2.44
Chris Duhon	24	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-6	-1	14.9	13.4	1.56	15.9	19.8	-3.96
Andres Nocioni	82	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-9	5	13.5	17.1	-3.66	19.0	16.2	2.82
Kirk Hinrich	82	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-6	-1	13.4	17.7	-4.28	18.7	20.2	-1.47
Thabo Sefolosha	64	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.01	-18	5	-23	14.1	13.0	1.02	19.4	17.3	2.11
Ben Wallace	79	78	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	0.04	-24	11	-35	13.8	13.2	0.65	18.8	18.5	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 121, TOR 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.27,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
CLE 88, SAS 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.01,0	93.7%
BOS 99, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.24,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%