NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	86		Excitement	8.6 [143]		MVP	Kendrick Perkins (BOS): +39.1%
Boston Celtics	87		Comeback	17.1 [157]		LVP	Ray Allen (BOS): -41.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	0.00	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	11	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Craig Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rashad McCants	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.06	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	9	39%	-0.02	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Antoine Walker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	14	47%	-0.01	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.14,-0.19	0.03	-0.22	-0.00	14	60%	0.20	3	-0.39	2	100%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.39	0.39	0.15	0.24	-0.00	10	75%	0.39	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.06
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	3	100%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.07	0.03	5	83%	0.03	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	4	37%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	7	37%	-0.01	3	-0.10	5	60%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.23	-0.23	-0.10	-0.11	0.01	15	47%	0.01	6	-0.24	10	100%	0.08
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.3,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.41	-0.41	-0.18	-0.23	-0.01	18	32%	-0.22	5	-0.19	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	29.3	15.6	27.2	2.5	38.3	141.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -14.2%

BOS +20.0%

BOS +31.9%

BOS +2.6%

BOS +9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	BOS	NBA	MIN	BOS	NBA
this game	16.7	14.1	15.4	91.5	93.5	105.7
season	15.9	15.6		102.2	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.0		98.3	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.7	17.0	16.8	17.6	16.7
BOS	13.7	15.0	13.8	13.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	28	28	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.20	4	-5	9	16.6	16.8	-0.18	15.8	13.3	2.53
Craig Smith	27	26	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-2	3	15.6	17.2	-1.55	15.8	13.4	2.38
Gerald Green	31	29	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-1	1	16.9	16.7	0.25	14.2	14.0	0.27
Corey Brewer	50	46	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-1	1	16.6	16.8	-0.20	14.3	13.8	0.54
Rashad McCants	59	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.23	2	-3	5	17.6	15.3	2.26	13.9	14.3	-0.35
Sebastian Telfair	84	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.49	-1	0	-1	16.5	18.3	-1.75	13.7	17.4	-3.75
Al Jefferson	67	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.50	-2	1	-3	17.2	15.6	1.55	13.4	15.8	-2.38
Marko Jaric	57	58	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.72	-2	1	-3	16.4	17.3	-0.97	14.6	13.2	1.32
Ryan Gomes	67	67	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.66	-7	6	-13	16.6	17.1	-0.48	13.2	16.2	-2.97

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	53	54	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.58	12	-11	23	13.7	14.6	-0.91	16.8	16.6	0.19
Paul Pierce	82	82	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.54	9	-8	17	13.9	15.2	-1.28	16.9	15.3	1.61
Kevin Garnett	63	62	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.58	2	-1	3	13.2	15.8	-2.58	16.9	16.5	0.40
Rajon Rondo	65	64	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	-5	11	13.8	14.5	-0.69	17.4	15.4	1.96
Ray Allen	78	78	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.44	0	1	-1	14.2	13.1	1.10	16.8	16.3	0.51
Eddie House	28	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	6	-11	14.5	13.8	0.69	15.4	17.4	-1.96
Leon Powe	22	23	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.05	-5	6	-11	14.5	13.9	0.64	15.4	17.2	-1.72
Glen Davis	37	38	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.03	-10	11	-21	15.4	13.2	2.24	16.7	16.8	-0.08
Tony Allen	37	39	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.23	-4	5	-9	14.4	13.9	0.49	16.6	16.8	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.18,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 108, DEN 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.1,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.04,1	92.5%
LAL 75, OKC 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.41,0.55,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.34,0.19,0.16,0.04,0.13,1	91.5%
POR 97, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.23,0.08,1	91.4%