NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	108		Excitement	8.4 [158]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (DEN): +18.3%
Denver Nuggets	109		Comeback	79.0 [19]		LVP	Robert Pack (DEN): -18.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	16	64%	0.13	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Brian Skinner	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	8	68%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.03	-0.02	14	50%	0.11	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Darius Miles	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	73%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	4	58%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	12	47%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	67%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.14	-0.08	-0.09	-0.03	14	29%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.18	0.18	-0.07	0.25	0.00	14	45%	0.25	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.07
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.01	24	59%	0.18	1	-0.04	11	64%	-0.05
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.02	0.03	13	69%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	10	45%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.04	-0.03	8	35%	0.06	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	16	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	5	62%	-0.03	2	-0.06	6	33%	-0.11
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.4	26.6	15.6	24.3	2.4	34.4	126.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +27.5%

DEN +17.2%

LAC -0.7%

LAC -9.5%

DEN +15.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	15.2	15.3	15.5	113.7	116.0	100.9
season	16.1	15.2		99.5	101.4
opponent	15.2	15.5		104.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.8	13.5	13.3	17.8	15.2
DEN	15.2	13.7	15.5	17.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miles	50	50	0.31	-0.81	1.11	0.13	6	-7	13	13.3	17.3	-4.07	15.7	14.9	0.80
Corey Maggette	49	49	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.33	-2	1	-3	15.2	15.2	0.03	15.3	15.3	-0.05
Quentin Richardson	40	40	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-4	7	15.1	15.2	-0.11	14.9	15.6	-0.63
Brian Skinner	46	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	2	-5	15.7	14.8	0.90	15.0	15.6	-0.65
Sean Rooks	30	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.27	1	-2	3	14.2	15.6	-1.45	16.8	14.5	2.36
Michael Olowokandi	50	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	3	-7	17.0	13.2	3.74	14.4	16.2	-1.77
Keyon Dooling	39	40	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.48	0	-1	1	13.8	16.1	-2.28	15.4	15.2	0.24
Lamar Odom	57	55	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.73	7	-8	15	16.2	13.7	2.46	15.6	14.8	0.80
Eric Piatkowski	54	53	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.44	-7	6	-13	14.5	16.0	-1.51	14.9	15.8	-0.87
Jeff McInnis	60	58	-0.89	0.39	-1.29	-0.72	-6	5	-11	16.0	13.8	2.25	15.3	15.3	0.02

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	53	55	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.71	7	-6	13	15.2	15.4	-0.18	16.5	13.3	3.18
Antonio McDyess	83	83	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.49	10	-9	19	15.2	16.2	-1.01	15.7	11.5	4.22
Voshon Lenard	81	82	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.48	8	-7	15	15.4	14.8	0.51	16.1	9.7	6.37
Nick Van Exel	75	76	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.53	6	-5	11	15.4	14.7	0.69	15.7	13.0	2.74
Raef LaFrentz	69	71	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.53	2	-1	3	15.0	16.0	-0.92	15.6	14.0	1.59
George McCloud	41	40	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.15	-6	7	-13	15.4	15.2	0.18	13.3	16.5	-3.18
Robert Pack	32	32	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.07	-12	13	-25	14.8	15.5	-0.77	11.7	17.0	-5.33
Mark Strickland	36	36	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.17	-10	11	-21	16.0	14.8	1.20	13.2	16.4	-3.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.1,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.04,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 117, WAS 119	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.14,0.15,1	92.6%
MIN 86, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.18,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.15,1	92.5%
MIL 88, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.31,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.27,1	91.5%