inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 109 Excitement5.4 [694] MVPLinas Kleiza (DEN): +30.3%
Denver Nuggets 120 Comeback1.5 [739] LVPMatt Harpring (UTA): -10.4%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Korver0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.10-0.01-0.011173%0.131-0.0300%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.00-0.01564%0.0600.00475%-0.00
Carlos Boozer0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.040.05-0.051846%0.093-0.0430%-0.04
Deron Williams0.040,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.001861%0.145-0.102100%0.01
Ronnie Brewer0.010,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.010.00362%0.021-0.02250%-0.02
Jason Hart0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01340%0.0000.004100%0.01
Ronnie Price0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mehmet Okur-0.000,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.06-0.020.041167%0.052-0.052100%0.01
CJ Miles-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.070.000.08480%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Jarron Collins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Paul Millsap-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.13-0.02-0.05817%-0.052-0.05250%-0.01
Matt Harpring-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.02739%-0.014-0.10475%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Linas Kleiza0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.300.270.050.022173%0.322-0.011479%0.01
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.12-0.020.08-0.062048%0.142-0.02887%0.03
Allen Iverson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.040.011956%0.163-0.071283%0.01
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.01-0.021250%0.0600.002100%0.01
Von Wafer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.01-0.00350%0.021-0.03475%0.01
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.01250%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Marcus Camby0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.11-0.03-0.051331%-0.013-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.31.826.814.829.01.630.6131.9
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +9.4%
DEN +17.0%
DEN +7.9%
DEN +16.0%
UTA -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTADENNBAUTADENNBA
this game14.613.115.4105.8114.3105.7
season15.513.3111.2108.2
opponent15.215.0105.4105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA14.715.514.613.814.6
DEN15.312.811.612.913.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronnie Price1414-0.00-0.500.50-0.269-202911.615.1-3.4713.713.00.75
Jarron Collins1616-0.06-0.440.39-0.205-162113.014.9-1.9415.012.72.28
Ronnie Brewer2425-0.15-0.350.20-0.12-1-10915.814.31.5014.512.61.85
Kyle Korver5153-0.16-0.340.170.16-110-1114.914.40.5612.913.2-0.36
CJ Miles2221-0.19-0.310.12-0.252-131513.914.9-0.9912.313.2-0.92
Matt Harpring3940-0.20-0.300.10-0.02-6-5-114.614.7-0.0412.913.2-0.27
Paul Millsap5151-0.21-0.290.08-0.18-1-10914.914.30.6012.113.9-1.81
Deron Williams7375-0.25-0.250.010.08-110-1115.113.41.7013.013.3-0.37
Jason Hart3030-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.250-111113.415.1-1.7013.313.00.37
Andrei Kirilenko5657-0.30-0.20-0.100.14-154-1915.014.30.7112.813.3-0.49
Mehmet Okur6769-0.31-0.19-0.130.07-132-1515.513.02.5213.113.00.10
Carlos Boozer7274-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.04-132-1514.016.2-2.2213.312.60.64

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Camby96960.67-0.170.850.0322-113312.914.4-1.5114.813.01.76
Allen Iverson97970.65-0.150.790.0022-113312.915.0-2.0914.811.53.34
Linas Kleiza91880.390.110.280.09101913.013.8-0.8315.310.94.34
Carmelo Anthony83840.270.230.040.1838-512.614.8-2.2214.216.6-2.38
J.R. Smith39380.190.31-0.110.0847-313.912.61.2814.414.8-0.35
Eduardo Najera39370.170.33-0.160.0547-313.912.61.3614.814.60.18
Anthony Carter74710.160.34-0.180.28-415-1912.913.6-0.7314.515.0-0.48
Von Wafer320.000.50-0.500.09-314-1717.712.94.746.014.8-8.81
Yakhouba Diawara320.000.50-0.500.09-314-1717.712.94.746.014.8-8.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 87, HOU 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%
CLE 88, PHI 960.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,194.6%
IND 89, MIA 1020.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,194.4%