NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	111		Excitement	7.9 [253]		MVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): +18.2%
Houston Rockets	107		Comeback	20.3 [7]		LVP	Luther Head (HOU): -32.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0.18	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.1,0.04,0.18	0.07	0.13	0.01	16	56%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Andre Miller	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.10	-0.00	18	59%	0.23	4	-0.10	8	75%	0.03
Willie Green	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.07	0.02	11	62%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	9	59%	0.12	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.02
Lou Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	13	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Rodney Carney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.01	9	57%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Reggie Evans	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.02	-0.00	9	94%	0.26	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.08,0.03	0.03	0.13	-0.10	0.00	11	78%	0.13	3	-0.10	10	90%	0.06
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.15,-0.27,-0.27,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	0.03	17	53%	0.16	6	-0.27	4	75%	-0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.10	-0.24	-0.02	20	37%	-0.17	2	-0.15	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	28.2	15.8	24.2	1.6	37.8	135.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +16.1%

HOU -1.1%

HOU -14.6%

PHI +50.8%

HOU -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	HOU	NBA	PHI	HOU	NBA
this game	14.6	16.2	15.4	119.4	113.8	105.7
season	15.2	16.2		104.0	104.6
opponent	15.2	16.2		100.3	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.8	16.8	14.6	11.5	14.6
HOU	14.9	15.9	16.1	17.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	49	50	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.39	18	-14	32	13.0	16.4	-3.32	16.1	16.3	-0.17
Lou Williams	46	46	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.46	10	-6	16	13.9	15.3	-1.43	16.4	16.0	0.45
Andre Iguodala	79	80	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-8	20	14.0	18.1	-4.16	16.1	16.8	-0.71
Samuel Dalembert	60	61	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.58	2	2	0	15.3	13.3	2.03	16.4	15.8	0.56
Andre Miller	76	78	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	7	-10	14.7	14.1	0.68	15.8	18.1	-2.27
Jason Smith	24	24	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.08	5	-1	6	13.5	15.0	-1.50	16.5	16.1	0.43
Kevin Ollie	3	3	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.04	1	3	-2	12.3	14.7	-2.36	21.7	16.0	5.67
Willie Green	58	58	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	7	-10	15.4	13.3	2.04	16.6	15.5	1.10
Rodney Carney	9	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	8	-12	18.6	14.2	4.37	14.9	16.3	-1.43
Calvin Booth	24	23	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.12	-3	7	-10	14.6	14.6	-0.04	16.0	16.2	-0.24
Reggie Evans	37	38	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.04	-15	19	-34	16.3	13.5	2.75	15.8	16.4	-0.57

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	33	34	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.06	9	-13	22	16.0	16.3	-0.33	16.1	13.8	2.28
Carl Landry	10	9	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.05	7	-11	18	15.5	16.3	-0.76	18.6	14.2	4.37
Bonzi Wells	37	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.08	-4	0	-4	15.6	16.6	-0.97	13.7	15.1	-1.40
Aaron Brooks	24	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	0	-4	15.5	16.4	-0.97	13.0	15.2	-2.17
Luther Head	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.48	3	-7	10	16.3	15.6	0.70	15.4	10.9	4.57
Yao Ming	79	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-1	-2	16.3	15.4	0.93	14.7	14.4	0.30
Rafer Alston	82	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	1	-6	16.0	17.4	-1.42	14.3	16.7	-2.42
Shane Battier	84	84	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.33	-11	7	-18	16.3	15.5	0.76	14.2	18.6	-4.37
Luis Scola	45	44	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.46	-12	8	-20	17.0	15.4	1.66	14.2	15.0	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.8,0.68,0.41,0.3,0.34,0.62,0.55,0.23,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 91, WAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.22,0.02,0	92.0%
OKC 107, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.09,0.16,0	91.2%
POR 97, NOH 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.77,0.64,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.28,0.14,0.04,0	90.9%