NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	97		Excitement	7.7 [279]		MVP	Anthony Parker (TOR): +25.4%
New Orleans Hornets	92		Comeback	11.4 [45]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOH): -17.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.17	0.09	0.01	10	86%	0.25	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Bosh	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.35,0.24	0.08	0.17	0.01	21	57%	0.28	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.07
Jose Calderon	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.02,-0.08,-0.01,0.14	0.01	0.14	0.00	12	59%	0.26	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.06
Andrea Bargnani	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	11	61%	0.10	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Jason Kapono	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	33%	0.00	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jamario Moon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	14	59%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.11	0.11	-0.05	0.13	-0.03	9	33%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.01	0.03	21	73%	0.28	6	-0.21	3	100%	0.02
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	6	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,-0.01,-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-0.21	0.01	16	53%	-0.10	1	-0.07	11	64%	-0.31

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	29.4	15.8	24.2	2.6	35.8	134.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +12.0%

TOR +55.1%

NOH -26.8%

TOR +7.5%

TOR +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NOH	NBA	TOR	NOH	NBA
this game	16.3	15.5	15.4	107.8	101.1	105.7
season	15.6	15.9		108.5	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.7		104.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.1	16.4	17.4	14.5	16.3
NOH	14.2	15.6	16.9	15.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	72	73	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.40	11	-6	17	16.4	15.9	0.51	15.6	15.2	0.38
Andrea Bargnani	59	59	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-5	15	16.2	16.5	-0.28	16.2	14.3	1.87
Jamario Moon	77	77	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-5	15	16.4	15.8	0.53	15.1	17.8	-2.67
Jose Calderon	77	77	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-1	7	16.6	14.8	1.79	15.3	16.9	-1.57
Chris Bosh	77	77	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.35	6	-1	7	16.6	14.7	1.88	15.4	16.2	-0.81
Juan Dixon	14	16	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	2	1	13.8	16.8	-2.98	15.0	15.6	-0.64
Jason Kapono	22	23	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	9	-13	15.7	16.5	-0.82	15.1	15.7	-0.59
Carlos Delfino	21	21	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.04	-8	13	-21	16.6	16.2	0.42	16.1	15.3	0.80
Kris Humphries	31	32	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.08	-9	14	-23	16.1	16.4	-0.31	16.2	15.2	1.02

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	26	25	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.07	3	-8	11	16.0	15.3	0.66	16.8	16.1	0.64
Tyson Chandler	57	59	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-9	13	15.4	15.7	-0.24	16.4	16.2	0.21
Julian Wright	5	4	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-2	-1	21.2	15.2	6.00	20.2	16.1	4.13
Jannero Pargo	11	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-2	-1	17.0	15.3	1.67	14.9	16.5	-1.58
Bobby Jackson	32	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.09	-7	2	-9	17.7	14.3	3.38	16.4	16.2	0.15
Chris Paul	84	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-5	5	15.1	20.7	-5.62	16.2	17.1	-0.91
Morris Peterson	55	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-5	5	14.6	16.9	-2.30	16.6	15.8	0.78
David West	81	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-1	-3	15.3	17.0	-1.65	16.3	16.3	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	34	31	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	4	-13	15.7	15.4	0.24	16.2	16.4	-0.21
Peja Stojakovic	70	71	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.48	-6	1	-7	15.2	16.8	-1.60	15.9	17.7	-1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.79,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.81,0.66,0.75,0.37,0.55,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 85, LAC 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.63,0.43,0.15,0	90.6%
UTA 97, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.55,0.48,0.32,0.08,0	89.4%
SAS 102, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.8,0.78,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.17,0	89.1%