NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	8.9 [141]		MVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): +15.4%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	8.1 [91]		LVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET): -21.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Ingles	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	3	125%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Exum	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	69%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Gordon Hayward	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.06,-0.14,0.06,0.07,0.05	-0.03	0.08	0.00	13	53%	0.37	4	-0.32	6	83%	-0.00
Enes Kanter	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.04	-0.00	11	58%	0.06	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Booker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.05
Alec Burks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.01	0.02	0.01	13	47%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Rudy Gobert	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	39%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	14	47%	0.01	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	0.02	18	46%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.13,-0.06	-0.06	0.13	-0.20	-0.01	15	68%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Josh Smith	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	14	43%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.06
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	9	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	11	46%	-0.02	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.03	-0.18	0.00	13	37%	-0.21	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.0	2.5	29.3	15.8	27.3	2.4	31.3	128.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +84.7%

UTA +11.1%

DET -28.8%

DET -22.9%

UTA +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DET	NBA	UTA	DET	NBA
this game	14.3	16.8	15.1	106.6	102.1	104.2
season	16.2	15.7		103.8	104.0
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.0	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.9	12.9	13.5	15.2	14.3
DET	18.4	15.8	15.8	17.5	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Exum	40	42	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.54	11	-10	21	13.3	15.1	-1.82	16.4	17.1	-0.72
Alec Burks	69	70	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.55	-1	2	-3	14.3	14.3	0.06	16.3	18.2	-1.98
Derrick Favors	67	68	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.59	-6	7	-13	14.7	13.3	1.34	16.7	16.9	-0.20
Gordon Hayward	74	76	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.45	-4	5	-9	14.6	13.2	1.40	17.1	15.2	1.92
Trevor Booker	32	34	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	-5	11	14.5	14.2	0.23	16.2	17.1	-0.89
Enes Kanter	59	60	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.36	-5	6	-11	14.2	14.5	-0.23	17.1	16.2	0.89
Rudy Gobert	24	26	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.12	7	-6	13	13.3	14.7	-1.34	16.9	16.7	0.20
Joe Ingles	44	49	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	-4	9	13.6	15.0	-1.37	16.8	16.8	0.04
Trey Burke	46	45	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.05	-8	9	-17	15.4	13.2	2.26	17.3	16.3	0.98

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Singler	43	41	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.12	-1	0	-1	15.6	17.7	-2.12	13.6	14.9	-1.33
D.J. Augustin	35	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.09	-5	4	-9	15.6	17.5	-1.92	13.0	15.1	-2.14
Andre Drummond	61	59	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.11	-7	6	-13	17.1	16.2	0.96	13.9	15.2	-1.29
Jonas Jerebko	33	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	7	-15	15.9	17.3	-1.38	12.7	15.1	-2.46
Greg Monroe	61	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.49	10	-11	21	17.1	16.1	1.06	15.3	12.3	3.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	65	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.65	8	-9	17	16.8	16.7	0.18	14.7	13.5	1.19
Brandon Jennings	59	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.57	4	-5	9	17.5	15.6	1.92	15.1	13.0	2.14
Josh Smith	58	56	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.57	-1	0	-1	17.3	16.0	1.30	14.3	14.3	-0.04
Caron Butler	55	54	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.46	-5	4	-9	16.8	16.7	0.14	14.7	13.7	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.55,0.48,0.32,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 79, WAS 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.69,0.22,0.16,0.04,0	91.4%
PHI 83, VAN 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.38,0.54,0.55,0.18,0	91.3%
POR 108, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.76,0.29,0.22,0.17,0	90.8%