inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 79 Excitement3.8 [1022] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +14.8%
San Antonio Spurs 94 Comeback1.5 [1104] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -14.7%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Smith0.080,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.110.010.041368%0.0800.00250%-0.01
Chris Duhon0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.100.000.036108%0.122-0.0400%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ben Gordon-0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.011653%0.052-0.052100%0.01
Aaron Gray-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.00250%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Joakim Noah-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tyrus Thomas-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0220%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Adrian Griffin-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01425%-0.0410.0000%0.00
Luol Deng-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.031537%-0.032-0.032100%0.01
Kirk Hinrich-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.000.06950%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Andres Nocioni-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.160.00-0.021112%-0.121-0.02250%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.170.020.041965%0.1500.00560%-0.03
Ime Udoka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.120.000.035100%0.0900.002100%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.01-0.01775%0.111-0.012100%0.01
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.00-0.01875%0.082-0.0200%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.02-0.021550%0.0510.0000%0.00
Brent Barry00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.03520%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.01025%-0.0200.00425%-0.04
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.000.00433%-0.041-0.02450%-0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.150.00-0.01933%-0.055-0.10667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.52.623.115.624.02.828.2125.8
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +38.7%
CHI -3.2%
SAS +9.3%
SAS +5.9%
CHI -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHISASNBACHISASNBA
this game15.518.615.492.9111.9105.7
season15.016.5102.2104.7
opponent15.315.5100.5105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI16.316.315.214.115.5
SAS18.916.420.818.618.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Smith5553-0.01-0.490.48-0.134-192314.317.8-3.5519.417.32.07
Thabo Sefolosha77-0.04-0.460.410.07-4-11715.015.6-0.5514.019.0-5.01
Ben Wallace5959-0.07-0.430.37-0.184-192315.515.6-0.1019.117.41.70
Tyrus Thomas910-0.14-0.360.22-0.05-3-12921.814.87.0116.518.9-2.38
Adrian Griffin1716-0.15-0.350.19-0.04-4-11720.514.36.2117.019.0-1.97
Joakim Noah1110-0.15-0.350.19-0.04-4-11718.915.03.9117.818.7-0.90
Chris Duhon2928-0.23-0.270.050.10-11-4-717.214.62.6317.219.3-2.02
Aaron Gray1414-0.27-0.23-0.030.17-150-1514.115.8-1.7217.218.9-1.66
Kirk Hinrich5959-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.14-5-10514.418.1-3.7019.017.61.36
Ben Gordon6262-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.22-3-12914.418.5-4.1319.516.03.58
Luol Deng7270-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.09-9-6-314.819.4-4.5819.016.62.34
Andres Nocioni3132-0.49-0.01-0.490.24-2510-3517.214.52.6617.519.3-1.82

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ime Udoka44440.54-0.040.57-0.2025-103517.320.0-2.7315.915.10.84
Michael Finley64660.440.060.380.2087119.116.92.2314.818.0-3.21
Matt Bonner38390.430.070.35-0.1018-32117.719.3-1.5716.115.01.15
Francisco Elson33330.420.080.350.13105517.519.3-1.7816.315.01.35
Tony Parker59580.350.150.19-0.091501518.319.3-0.9715.116.3-1.21
Jacque Vaughn31330.200.30-0.110.17114-1319.618.01.5617.014.52.49
Fabricio Oberto41400.090.41-0.32-0.06510-519.817.52.3213.916.9-3.03
Tim Duncan48490.050.45-0.400.14-318-2119.217.71.4815.215.9-0.76
Robert Horry890.020.48-0.470.02015-1517.218.7-1.4918.715.13.54
Marcus Williams330.000.50-0.500.09-318-2115.018.7-3.7319.015.43.62
Brent Barry23-0.000.50-0.50-0.00015-1511.518.8-7.2720.015.34.66
Bruce Bowen4948-0.020.52-0.530.01-116-1719.317.61.7115.016.1-1.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 98, MIA 1160.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
MIN 93, CHA 1050.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,195.8%
BOS 85, CHI 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%