NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	90		Excitement	3.3 [1124]		MVP	David Lee (NYK): +14.9%
New York Knicks	108		Comeback	1.7 [398]		LVP	Sasha Pavlovic (CLE): -4.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ira Newble	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	6	58%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.13	-0.01	0.10	21	67%	0.09	4	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Devin Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	41%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Damon Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.04	4	64%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Drew Gooden	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	10	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	10	35%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.02	0.04	12	79%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.00	0.03	12	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	13	57%	0.07	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	71%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	15	62%	0.10	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	10	52%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	1	33%	-0.00	3	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	30.2	17.3	23.5	1.7	29.0	127.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +41.7%

NYK +5.6%

NYK +3.9%

CLE -1.0%

CLE -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	16.7	15.4	102.3	121.3	105.7
season	16.4	15.7		104.0	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.2		109.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.7	18.0	16.3	13.7	15.9
NYK	17.0	14.1	18.0	17.7	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	20	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-22	26	13.5	16.5	-2.99	19.0	16.0	3.04
Dwayne Jones	12	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-16	14	14.9	16.0	-1.10	14.0	17.1	-3.09
Drew Gooden	48	48	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-21	24	16.3	15.3	1.03	17.6	15.6	1.93
Anderson Varejao	37	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-11	4	14.9	16.5	-1.58	17.9	15.8	2.04
Sasha Pavlovic	55	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.14	-12	-6	-6	15.8	15.9	-0.07	16.2	17.3	-1.07
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	35	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	-7	-4	16.7	15.3	1.36	15.6	17.4	-1.83
Daniel Gibson	53	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-13	8	16.4	15.0	1.39	16.5	17.0	-0.47
Larry Hughes	43	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	-7	-4	16.2	15.5	0.68	17.3	16.0	1.27
Devin Brown	38	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.18	-17	-1	-16	15.1	16.5	-1.43	16.1	17.1	-1.04
LeBron James	66	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-9	0	16.1	15.2	0.85	16.9	16.0	0.94
Ira Newble	33	33	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.25	-23	5	-28	16.3	15.6	0.70	15.1	17.6	-2.52

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	72	71	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.08	17	1	16	16.2	18.5	-2.22	15.6	17.1	-1.48
Jamal Crawford	62	62	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.04	12	6	6	16.0	18.2	-2.22	15.9	15.7	0.24
Fred Jones	57	56	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.02	12	6	6	15.7	18.4	-2.75	16.8	14.2	2.63
Quentin Richardson	65	64	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	7	4	16.8	16.3	0.47	16.4	14.4	1.99
Malik Rose	23	23	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.04	11	7	4	14.3	17.5	-3.25	15.9	15.8	0.07
Jared Jeffries	34	33	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.14	14	4	10	18.4	15.6	2.72	15.8	15.9	-0.02
Zach Randolph	52	51	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	12	-6	17.5	15.5	2.08	16.3	15.2	1.12
Nate Robinson	33	33	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.02	5	13	-8	17.3	16.3	1.05	14.8	16.5	-1.67
Eddy Curry	31	31	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	16	-14	18.0	16.0	2.03	15.7	15.9	-0.24
Mardy Collins	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	17.4	16.6	0.77	12.2	16.2	-3.98
Renaldo Balkman	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	17.4	16.6	0.77	12.2	16.2	-3.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 74, TOR 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
ATL 92, SAC 117	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
MIL 80, UTA 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%