NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	125		Excitement	4.3 [944]		MVP	Kelenna Azubuike (GSW): +14.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	117		Comeback	2.4 [637]		LVP	Matt Barnes (GSW): -10.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelenna Azubuike	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.01	0.02	6	115%	0.16	1	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.00	-0.02	22	56%	0.15	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.01
Al Harrington	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.00	11	61%	0.12	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Andris Biedrins	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Monta Ellis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	16	61%	0.09	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Baron Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.02	17	56%	0.09	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.16	-0.01	-0.07	5	0%	-0.05	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.21	0.00	0.08	18	70%	0.16	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	65%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.02	0.06	10	67%	0.06	2	-0.02	7	57%	-0.03
Juan Carlos Navarro	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	14	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	38%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	12	65%	0.05	7	-0.10	7	71%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	12	33%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.6	28.8	15.8	26.1	1.8	35.3	133.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +35.0%

GSW +3.7%

GSW +12.2%

GSW +1.1%

MEM -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MEM	NBA	GSW	MEM	NBA
this game	13.3	14.3	15.4	119.0	112.5	105.7
season	13.5	14.9		109.8	103.3
opponent	14.9	15.1		109.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.1	11.8	15.2	15.3	13.3
MEM	15.6	15.5	12.5	13.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	92	88	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.12	15	-7	22	13.4	12.7	0.68	14.6	12.2	2.40
Baron Davis	89	90	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-4	16	13.1	14.4	-1.36	14.8	11.1	3.62
Al Harrington	62	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	3	2	15.2	10.5	4.74	15.6	12.6	3.03
Monta Ellis	88	87	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	3	2	13.2	13.9	-0.78	14.2	14.9	-0.72
Mickael Pietrus	36	36	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	-4	16	10.3	14.8	-4.54	15.5	13.6	1.87
Kelenna Azubuike	56	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.36	-6	14	-20	13.9	12.6	1.26	13.2	15.5	-2.31
Matt Barnes	67	68	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	12	-16	14.0	12.1	1.93	12.6	17.4	-4.71
Andris Biedrins	31	33	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	7	-6	11.0	14.2	-3.24	14.2	14.3	-0.10
Marco Belinelli	4	4	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	8	-8	13.2	13.3	-0.04	10.5	14.4	-3.93

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	21	20	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-10	12	14.5	14.2	0.31	11.2	13.8	-2.58
Brian Cardinal	6	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.06	-3	-5	2	9.7	14.6	-4.89	14.7	13.2	1.46
Andre Brown	7	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-5	2	12.0	14.4	-2.44	14.6	13.2	1.45
Casey Jacobsen	25	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-4	0	12.4	14.9	-2.53	11.9	13.7	-1.74
Damon Stoudamire	63	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-6	4	14.6	13.9	0.70	13.1	13.5	-0.40
Mike Miller	98	97	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.38	6	-14	20	13.9	20.5	-6.60	13.8	7.1	6.67
Rudy Gay	77	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.37	1	-9	10	15.2	11.7	3.48	13.6	12.1	1.53
Juan Carlos Navarro	76	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-3	-2	14.1	14.8	-0.69	13.6	12.4	1.13
Kyle Lowry	57	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-4	0	13.7	15.0	-1.24	13.1	13.5	-0.33
Stromile Swift	42	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	8	-24	16.1	13.1	3.01	12.6	13.8	-1.20
Hakim Warrick	48	49	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	4	-16	14.4	14.1	0.29	13.3	13.3	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 91, HOU 77	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
NJN 107, CHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.31,0.26,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
MEM 122, DAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.32,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%