NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	99		Excitement	6.6 [456]		MVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): +35.5%
Sacramento Kings	107		Comeback	2.1 [267]		LVP	Spencer Hawes (SAC): -6.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	30	59%	0.25	5	-0.12	8	87%	0.03
Bonzi Wells	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.03	0.03	15	67%	0.12	3	-0.09	13	100%	0.11
Aaron Brooks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	7	31%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35	0.35	0.07	0.21	-0.07	20	54%	0.38	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.11
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.04	-0.01	7	76%	0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	20	53%	0.15	1	-0.04	9	78%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	9	50%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	83%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	41%	0.03	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.8	28.0	14.8	23.2	2.5	32.4	130.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +31.5%

SAC +12.7%

HOU -2.4%

SAC +14.7%

HOU -6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	16.3	15.3	15.4	108.8	117.6	105.7
season	16.2	14.9		104.6	105.6
opponent	15.0	15.2		108.0	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.1	18.1	17.4	13.7	16.3
SAC	15.2	14.6	13.9	17.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	2	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-8	8	4.0	16.6	-12.61	23.0	15.2	7.77
Luis Scola	29	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-11	14	14.4	17.2	-2.86	14.7	15.6	-0.82
Luther Head	17	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-2	-4	16.1	16.4	-0.33	14.2	15.6	-1.37
Mike James	31	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-1	-6	15.7	16.6	-0.94	15.5	15.2	0.30
Rafer Alston	66	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.23	-1	-7	6	16.6	15.7	0.84	14.9	16.3	-1.38
Shane Battier	80	80	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.36	3	-11	14	16.6	14.6	1.93	15.9	11.4	4.50
Charles Hayes	34	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	2	-12	17.4	15.7	1.77	14.5	15.8	-1.26
Yao Ming	68	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-4	0	17.1	14.1	3.00	15.5	14.8	0.72
Bonzi Wells	51	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-3	-2	15.7	17.1	-1.46	15.9	14.6	1.38
Tracy McGrady	77	79	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.23	-13	5	-18	16.5	15.3	1.23	15.1	16.5	-1.36

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	73	71	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.20	18	-10	28	15.3	15.4	-0.16	16.7	15.1	1.51
Metta World Peace	82	81	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.24	13	-5	18	15.3	15.2	0.11	16.2	17.1	-0.87
Beno Udrih	64	64	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-4	16	15.1	15.9	-0.86	16.5	15.8	0.73
John Salmons	56	55	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	4	0	15.3	15.3	0.05	15.4	17.7	-2.26
Brad Miller	64	65	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	3	2	15.2	15.7	-0.49	16.5	16.0	0.46
Spencer Hawes	27	26	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	5	-2	15.7	15.2	0.49	16.0	16.5	-0.46
Francisco Garcia	33	33	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.20	-7	15	-22	15.7	15.1	0.55	15.5	16.8	-1.37
Mikki Moore	44	46	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	9	-10	15.3	15.4	-0.09	17.6	15.1	2.50
Quincy Douby	12	14	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	15	-22	15.9	15.2	0.69	15.7	16.4	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.85,0.75,0.89,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 88, SEA 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,1,1	93.4%
POR 89, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
MIL 90, CHH 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.3%