NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	92		Excitement	8.9 [120]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +22.4%
New Jersey Nets	94		Comeback	14.6 [211]		LVP	Lou Williams (PHI): -22.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22	0.10	0.15	0.03	11	71%	0.27	3	-0.04	12	100%	0.12
Jason Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Carney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.07,-0.16,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0	-0.09	0.07	-0.01	14	44%	0.11	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.10
Willie Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01	0.05	-0.05	0.01	6	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.10	-0.01	14	48%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	41%	-0.06	2	-0.03	8	37%	-0.08
Samuel Dalembert	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	9	33%	0.03	4	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.28,-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-0.01	11	46%	-0.17	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.15	0.02	12	73%	0.30	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	11	54%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	0.00	21	45%	0.05	2	-0.08	9	89%	0.04
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.21,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	17	52%	0.05	3	-0.12	12	83%	0.04
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.6	2.0	31.0	15.8	31.9	1.8	33.3	2.4	21.5	162.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +42.0%

PHI -20.5%

NJN +5.5%

NJN +18.4%

NJN +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	15.8	16.5	15.4	92.9	95.9	105.7
season	15.2	15.4		104.0	101.8
opponent	15.5	16.2		107.1	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	13.7	16.3	17.0	16.1	15.7	15.8
NJN	18.4	18.8	13.6	18.2	11.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	19	21	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.04	8	-10	18	14.1	16.2	-2.11	18.8	15.9	2.90
Rodney Carney	7	8	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.08	-1	-1	0	15.4	15.8	-0.35	15.6	16.6	-0.99
Lou Williams	49	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.21	5	-7	12	15.6	15.9	-0.25	16.9	16.2	0.66
Reggie Evans	67	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-4	6	15.5	16.3	-0.82	16.9	15.8	1.13
Andre Iguodala	83	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.29	-5	3	-8	15.9	14.9	1.05	16.1	19.1	-2.99
Willie Green	38	35	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.04	-14	12	-26	15.7	15.8	-0.08	15.2	17.3	-2.07
Samuel Dalembert	83	84	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.41	-4	2	-6	16.3	13.1	3.14	16.2	18.8	-2.63
Andre Miller	89	89	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	0	-2	15.9	14.7	1.18	16.7	14.7	2.05
Kyle Korver	60	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.56	1	-3	4	15.6	15.9	-0.27	16.8	16.1	0.75

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	84	86	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.56	5	-3	8	16.0	19.7	-3.71	15.6	17.0	-1.43
Vince Carter	81	80	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.50	7	-5	12	16.0	18.8	-2.77	15.6	16.6	-1.02
Antoine Wright	67	67	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.44	8	-6	14	16.3	17.1	-0.83	16.2	14.7	1.49
Sean Williams	59	57	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.37	1	1	0	16.8	16.1	0.71	16.8	14.4	2.43
Jason Collins	39	39	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	-2	6	16.1	16.8	-0.71	15.3	16.0	-0.70
Eddie Gill	13	13	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	3	-4	19.8	16.0	3.82	14.7	15.9	-1.23
Jason Kidd	74	75	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	1	0	16.7	16.0	0.65	15.9	15.2	0.78
Malik Allen	36	37	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	7	-12	16.6	16.5	0.08	14.6	16.4	-1.77
Bostjan Nachbar	26	30	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	-0.03	-12	14	-26	20.3	15.2	5.19	15.7	15.8	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.36,0.57,0.84,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.67,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, DEN 111	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.17,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.78,0.73,1	90.5%
OKC 97, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.43,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.72,1	87.7%
BKN 104, NOP 109	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.35,0.4,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.18,0.28,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.4,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.92,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.85,0.96,1	87.2%