NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	106		Excitement	6.6 [445]		MVP	Grant Hill (PHX): +11.8%
Phoenix Suns	110		Comeback	1.0 [1016]		LVP	Boris Diaw (PHX): -6.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	17	66%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
JJ Redick	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.00	0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.01	19	62%	0.19	8	-0.19	10	40%	-0.08
Keith Bogans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	5	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Adonal Foyle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	19	43%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.03
Jameer Nelson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Brian Cook	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.06	-0.02	15	50%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	16	62%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.07	-0.01	11	71%	0.21	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.04
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.05	14	57%	0.11	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	14	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	54%	0.07	2	-0.05	12	92%	0.04
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	38%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	29.2	15.7	28.9	2.4	36.4	139.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +29.3%

ORL -5.9%

PHX +12.2%

PHX +6.3%

PHX +8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHX	NBA	ORL	PHX	NBA
this game	13.4	13.1	15.4	98.1	100.9	105.7
season	15.1	13.8		109.9	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.6		106.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.3	13.2	14.2	13.1	13.4
PHX	11.1	12.5	14.1	15.1	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Arroyo	48	50	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.17	7	-11	18	12.6	14.1	-1.59	12.9	13.3	-0.33
Adonal Foyle	6	6	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	0	-4	12.8	13.5	-0.65	7.7	13.4	-5.75
Brian Cook	7	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-1	-2	15.3	13.3	1.97	11.2	13.2	-2.00
JJ Redick	26	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.45	12	-16	28	13.5	13.4	0.12	15.6	12.3	3.30
Maurice Evans	22	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	0	-4	12.2	13.8	-1.59	11.8	13.5	-1.67
Keyon Dooling	45	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	2	-8	12.5	14.1	-1.68	11.9	14.0	-2.02
Rashard Lewis	98	98	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.37	0	-4	4	13.7	11.3	2.36	12.9	15.0	-2.11
Jameer Nelson	58	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	5	-14	14.5	12.2	2.32	13.7	12.5	1.22
Keith Bogans	39	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	9	-22	14.0	13.1	0.87	11.9	13.8	-1.86
Hedo Turkoglu	89	89	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.37	-1	-3	2	13.4	13.8	-0.42	13.8	9.8	4.04
Dwight Howard	102	102	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.48	1	-5	6	13.5	12.8	0.65	13.5	6.9	6.67

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	77	77	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.28	13	-9	22	13.1	13.2	-0.17	14.1	11.9	2.16
Raja Bell	80	79	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-10	24	12.8	14.0	-1.27	13.7	12.9	0.80
Shawn Marion	89	87	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.36	0	4	-4	13.4	11.7	1.72	14.0	11.2	2.74
Amar'e Stoudemire	70	72	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.43	-4	8	-12	13.6	12.3	1.28	13.6	13.1	0.58
Leandro Barbosa	69	67	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	2	0	12.9	13.4	-0.47	13.4	13.6	-0.19
Grant Hill	78	77	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.32	-2	6	-8	13.4	12.3	1.09	13.0	14.5	-1.50
Brian Skinner	32	30	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	3	-2	12.5	13.3	-0.81	12.4	13.9	-1.49
Boris Diaw	50	51	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	8	-12	12.6	13.5	-0.85	12.4	14.4	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.92,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.94,0.93,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 81, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
VAN 103, SEA 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.95,1,0.98,1,1	94.2%
PHI 99, ORL 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%