NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	104		Excitement	9.7 [68]		MVP	Glen Davis (BOS): +19.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Comeback	7.7 [128]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -22.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Davis	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.12	0.00	3	100%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.07	-0.02	14	59%	0.16	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.04
Brian Scalabrine	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.05	8	65%	0.04	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Kendrick Perkins	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	6	55%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.11
Ray Allen	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	0.02	-0.17	0.02	25	52%	-0.05	3	-0.12	6	67%	-0.25
Paul Pierce	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	15	44%	-0.05	4	-0.14	6	83%	0.03
Rajon Rondo	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	9	15%	-0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.06	-0.02	15	71%	0.22	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.02	0.16	0.00	12	57%	0.25	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.1,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	25	58%	0.26	3	-0.11	15	93%	0.05
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	2	60%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.05
Eric Snow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	10	65%	0.04	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	0.00	11	33%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	33.9	15.0	24.2	2.5	34.2	2.6	18.2	158.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +21.9%

CLE +18.4%

BOS -17.7%

CLE +15.3%

CLE +12.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	16.4	15.4	106.1	110.1	105.7
season	15.6	16.4		108.0	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.9		104.1	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	15.9	14.4	17.8	18.1	12.1	15.8
CLE	15.4	16.9	17.3	20.8	10.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Davis	10	9	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.09	5	-10	15	17.2	15.7	1.51	18.8	16.2	2.58
James Posey	41	41	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.11	9	-14	23	14.3	16.9	-2.63	15.4	17.2	-1.78
Brian Scalabrine	8	10	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-10	15	17.1	15.7	1.39	15.3	16.6	-1.26
Scot Pollard	9	8	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-5	5	17.4	15.7	1.76	16.6	16.4	0.21
Eddie House	32	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.10	-2	-3	1	14.2	16.7	-2.51	14.0	17.6	-3.61
Rajon Rondo	79	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	0	-5	16.4	13.5	2.88	17.1	14.0	3.09
Ray Allen	90	90	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	-1	-3	16.3	11.2	5.01	16.5	16.1	0.36
Kendrick Perkins	63	65	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.35	-11	6	-17	15.7	16.1	-0.46	15.5	18.2	-2.65
Kevin Garnett	82	84	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.43	-9	4	-13	15.5	17.7	-2.20	16.4	16.5	-0.04
Paul Pierce	83	84	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.36	-12	7	-19	15.5	17.7	-2.23	16.6	15.7	0.83

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	80	80	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.51	15	-10	25	16.2	17.3	-1.09	15.7	16.4	-0.66
Sasha Pavlovic	83	84	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.34	19	-14	33	15.7	20.1	-4.33	15.8	15.9	-0.01
LeBron James	86	86	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.46	14	-9	23	16.1	18.8	-2.69	15.6	17.5	-1.88
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	79	78	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.18	16	-11	27	17.3	12.9	4.37	16.8	12.3	4.46
Daniel Gibson	73	72	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	5	-5	17.8	12.5	5.28	16.6	13.8	2.78
Dwayne Jones	3	3	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	4	-3	15.3	16.5	-1.14	14.7	15.9	-1.22
Eric Snow	2	1	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.04	-5	10	-15	23.5	16.3	7.21	15.0	15.9	-0.86
Devin Brown	24	23	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.03	-11	16	-27	18.5	15.8	2.67	16.6	15.6	0.94
Damon Jones	16	16	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.25	-7	12	-19	17.1	16.3	0.82	16.0	15.8	0.18
Ira Newble	35	34	-0.50	1.00	-1.49	0.15	-22	27	-49	15.0	17.2	-2.17	14.1	16.8	-2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.49,0.38,0.51,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.22,0.17,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 89, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.96,1	89.7%
TOR 90, LAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.26,0.22,0.06,0.17,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.78,0.99,1	88.3%
CHI 94, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.72,0.63,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.54,0.75,0.93,0.91,0.95,1	88.1%