NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	103		Excitement	6.2 [549]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +32.3%
Detroit Pistons	93		Comeback	2.1 [469]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): -16.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.32	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.25	0.11	0.04	20	86%	0.38	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Ronnie Brewer	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	6	73%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.08
Deron Williams	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	13	58%	0.11	3	-0.08	10	80%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.01	6	69%	0.10	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.02
Jason Hart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jarron Collins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Matt Harpring	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	42%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Ronnie Price	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.02	0.02	16	33%	-0.08	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	8	39%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	9	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	11	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	16	46%	0.05	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	14	58%	0.03	2	-0.04	5	60%	0.02
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	7	17%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	14	47%	-0.05	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.3	26.5	15.6	29.5	2.0	31.2	133.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +45.1%

UTA +13.0%

UTA +0.2%

DET -13.3%

UTA +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DET	NBA	UTA	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	15.7	15.4	112.0	100.0	105.7
season	15.5	16.8		111.2	108.8
opponent	15.8	15.0		101.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.3	15.1	16.6	17.3	15.5
DET	15.0	15.5	16.9	15.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	72	73	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.06	21	-11	32	15.7	14.7	0.92	15.7	15.6	0.08
Carlos Boozer	72	74	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-3	16	15.2	16.4	-1.19	16.0	14.5	1.50
Deron Williams	79	79	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-2	14	15.6	14.9	0.63	15.6	15.8	-0.14
Andrei Kirilenko	68	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-1	12	15.4	15.7	-0.27	15.7	15.5	0.28
Ronnie Brewer	65	67	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	1	8	14.9	16.9	-2.01	15.6	15.8	-0.14
Ronnie Price	27	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	7	-4	16.9	14.9	2.01	15.7	15.7	-0.00
Matt Harpring	24	23	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	13	-16	15.7	15.4	0.27	15.6	15.7	-0.13
Jason Hart	13	14	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	12	-14	14.9	15.6	-0.63	15.8	15.6	0.14
Paul Millsap	29	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	16	-22	17.0	14.8	2.24	14.8	16.0	-1.25
Jarron Collins	11	12	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.08	-8	18	-26	11.8	16.0	-4.14	15.7	15.7	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarvis Hayes	30	30	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.08	6	-16	22	15.6	15.7	-0.15	17.2	14.6	2.62
Nazr Mohammed	32	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-11	12	16.0	15.5	0.46	15.9	15.2	0.72
Arron Afflalo	7	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-8	6	15.9	15.7	0.21	14.0	15.6	-1.59
Ronald Murray	28	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-11	12	15.3	15.8	-0.49	17.4	14.7	2.69
Jason Maxiell	74	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	-2	-6	15.7	15.5	0.18	16.0	13.4	2.52
Richard Hamilton	75	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-1	-8	15.3	17.0	-1.65	14.8	18.3	-3.56
Chauncey Billups	70	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	0	-10	16.1	14.3	1.81	15.2	16.3	-1.17
Antonio McDyess	80	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.18	-13	3	-16	15.5	16.6	-1.10	14.8	19.1	-4.34
Tayshaun Prince	69	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.12	-16	6	-22	15.7	15.5	0.22	15.1	16.4	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 81, HOU 66	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.8%
ORL 88, PHI 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.33,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.06,0,0	93.2%
POR 109, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.1%