NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	71		Excitement	4.5 [895]		MVP	Ronnie Price (UTA): +10.3%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	2.3 [695]		LVP	Morris Peterson (NOH): -11.0%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	15	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jannero Pargo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.08	8	25%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Julian Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	12	52%	0.09	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Rasual Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hilton Armstrong	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	22%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Bobby Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	6	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	13	41%	0.04	5	-0.14	3	67%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	6	7%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.01	0.03	6	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.01	7	62%	0.14	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	5	50%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	79%	0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	16	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	63%	0.02	4	-0.04	1	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.4	1.0	28.2	15.6	25.4	1.8	27.2	130.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +42.4%

UTA +2.3%

UTA +1.5%

UTA +4.5%

NOH -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	UTA	NBA	NOH	UTA	NBA
this game	15.8	14.7	15.4	74.7	105.3	105.7
season	15.9	15.5		109.6	111.2
opponent	15.0	15.7		105.0	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.1	15.7	16.9	15.6	15.8
UTA	13.7	14.3	15.8	15.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	20	20	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.21	-6	-22	16	12.5	16.7	-4.10	18.3	13.7	4.66
Hilton Armstrong	20	21	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.17	-5	-23	18	11.8	16.8	-4.99	15.5	14.5	1.02
Julian Wright	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-21	14	10.0	16.4	-6.40	20.3	14.1	6.25
Melvin Ely	13	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-25	22	16.4	15.7	0.69	15.3	14.6	0.75
Jannero Pargo	35	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.40	-16	-12	-4	15.3	16.1	-0.80	15.6	14.2	1.42
Morris Peterson	49	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.23	-13	-15	2	15.0	16.7	-1.67	15.3	14.1	1.15
Ryan Bowen	27	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	-19	10	17.3	15.2	2.05	14.4	14.8	-0.38
David West	68	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-12	-4	16.6	13.8	2.81	13.7	16.9	-3.15
Bobby Jackson	36	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-17	6	16.3	15.5	0.88	14.6	14.8	-0.22
Peja Stojakovic	67	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	-12	-4	16.0	15.3	0.71	14.0	16.3	-2.27
Chris Paul	70	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	-12	-4	16.3	14.3	2.05	13.9	16.8	-2.89
Tyson Chandler	61	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.13	-22	-6	-16	17.1	13.4	3.66	14.1	15.7	-1.65

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	58	58	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	9	10	15.2	13.8	1.42	16.4	14.9	1.47
Carlos Boozer	69	68	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	8	12	14.3	15.7	-1.36	16.7	13.6	3.12
Mehmet Okur	55	57	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.03	14	14	0	14.9	14.4	0.42	16.5	14.7	1.75
Jason Hart	37	37	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	10	8	14.6	14.7	-0.14	14.8	16.4	-1.60
Ronnie Brewer	47	47	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	21	-14	14.8	14.6	0.26	16.7	14.9	1.81
Ronnie Price	32	33	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.43	22	6	16	14.2	14.9	-0.75	14.2	16.6	-2.37
Deron Williams	57	58	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.15	10	18	-8	14.7	14.6	0.14	16.4	14.8	1.60
Paul Millsap	43	45	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.40	17	11	6	14.7	14.7	-0.01	15.0	16.5	-1.54
CJ Miles	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	20	-12	21.4	14.3	7.10	11.0	16.1	-5.11
Gordan Giricek	15	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	29	-30	15.3	14.6	0.78	16.3	15.7	0.65
Matt Harpring	31	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	27	-26	12.6	15.7	-3.13	15.6	15.9	-0.21
Jarron Collins	21	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.19	5	23	-18	15.4	14.5	0.96	12.6	16.6	-4.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 95, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.96,1	95.9%
MIN 114, POR 123	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
TOR 84, MIA 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.31,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%