NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	94		Excitement	3.0 [1165]		MVP	Kendrick Perkins (BOS): +6.4%
Boston Celtics	107		Comeback	1.0 [1197]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -10.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	21	55%	0.05	2	-0.02	9	78%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	8	65%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.14	0.00	0.12	12	72%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	8	81%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	6	33%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.04	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	10	81%	0.12	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	16	52%	0.06	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.00	-0.07	18	53%	0.11	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.06	4	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	15	47%	0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	125%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	29.2	14.8	25.5	2.0	31.2	130.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +37.5%

BOS +3.3%

BOS +1.9%

BOS +6.7%

BOS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.4	15.5	15.4	97.9	110.3	105.7
season	14.6	15.6		110.6	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.2		98.3	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.7	14.5	14.3	12.0	14.4
BOS	13.9	14.3	16.2	17.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	38	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.26	6	-19	25	12.8	15.3	-2.50	17.0	14.5	2.49
Jordan Farmar	50	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.33	8	-21	29	12.6	16.3	-3.74	16.7	14.2	2.49
Sasha Vujacic	23	24	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-14	15	12.0	15.1	-3.04	16.9	15.0	1.85
Andrew Bynum	52	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-12	11	13.5	15.4	-1.91	16.6	14.1	2.54
Vladimir Radmanovic	58	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-12	11	13.1	16.3	-3.20	16.1	14.4	1.70
Ronny Turiaf	47	45	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-4	-5	15.7	13.1	2.60	14.8	16.1	-1.32
Lamar Odom	63	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.08	-15	2	-17	15.2	12.7	2.48	14.8	16.8	-2.06
Chris Mihm	30	29	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.18	-19	6	-25	16.4	13.4	2.93	12.7	16.7	-3.94
Kobe Bryant	73	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	1	-15	15.1	12.0	3.04	15.0	16.9	-1.85
Derek Fisher	46	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.21	-21	8	-29	16.3	12.6	3.74	14.2	16.7	-2.49

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	69	70	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.31	30	-17	47	14.8	17.3	-2.53	15.4	11.5	3.86
Paul Pierce	89	88	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.02	18	-5	23	15.6	14.7	0.80	14.7	10.4	4.34
Rajon Rondo	70	70	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.01	14	-1	15	14.9	17.1	-2.20	15.0	12.6	2.38
Kevin Garnett	72	72	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.02	14	-1	15	15.0	17.0	-2.04	15.1	12.1	3.03
Ray Allen	71	71	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.08	8	5	3	15.0	16.8	-1.81	14.9	12.8	2.10
James Posey	38	35	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.33	-7	20	-27	16.6	14.8	1.84	12.3	15.5	-3.26
Brian Scalabrine	23	22	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	14	-15	17.3	14.9	2.33	12.3	15.0	-2.64
Eddie House	27	26	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	14	-15	17.1	14.9	2.20	12.6	15.0	-2.38
Tony Allen	22	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.22	-8	21	-29	17.2	15.0	2.25	11.3	15.3	-3.95
Scot Pollard	4	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	15	-17	14.2	15.5	-1.29	10.3	14.5	-4.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 87, IND 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
MEM 84, LAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
SAC 92, IND 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%