NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	108		Excitement	4.4 [914]		MVP	Baron Davis (GSW): +10.1%
New York Knicks	82		Comeback	1.4 [709]		LVP	Zach Randolph (NYK): -9.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.16	0.01	0.07	20	66%	0.14	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	73%	0.07	3	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	12	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	19	50%	0.03	4	-0.07	8	62%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	14	55%	0.04	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	4	60%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	9	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	10	46%	-0.00	3	-0.06	6	33%	-0.04
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	13	56%	0.02	4	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.16	-0.01	-0.08	6	0%	-0.06	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	12	52%	0.05	7	-0.15	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.7	2.4	30.5	16.6	26.2	2.5	27.2	136.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +28.2%

NYK -1.8%

NYK -14.9%

GSW +36.3%

GSW +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NYK	NBA	GSW	NYK	NBA
this game	13.3	15.4	15.4	108.0	82.0	105.7
season	13.5	15.7		109.8	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.1		109.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	9.7	14.8	16.1	13.8	13.3
NYK	15.1	15.2	16.6	15.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	64	62	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.37	32	-6	38	12.9	14.2	-1.32	15.5	15.4	0.09
Baron Davis	80	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.29	25	1	24	13.4	13.2	0.19	15.5	15.4	0.10
Stephen Jackson	83	84	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.27	24	2	22	13.1	14.5	-1.35	15.6	14.5	1.13
Kelenna Azubuike	71	71	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	19	-12	13.2	13.8	-0.58	15.0	16.5	-1.45
Austin Croshere	31	31	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	19	-12	13.6	13.2	0.43	15.0	15.7	-0.65
Monta Ellis	55	53	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.24	16	10	6	13.4	13.3	0.15	16.1	14.7	1.41
Patrick O'Bryant	9	8	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	18	-10	8.0	13.9	-5.88	12.7	15.7	-2.93
Andris Biedrins	48	49	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.32	16	10	6	14.1	12.7	1.37	16.2	14.7	1.56
Marco Belinelli	18	19	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	22	-18	15.1	13.0	2.08	13.9	15.8	-1.86
DJ Mbenga	19	20	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	25	-24	12.8	13.5	-0.69	15.5	15.4	0.12
Al Harrington	22	22	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.15	-10	36	-46	15.1	12.8	2.29	15.4	15.5	-0.05

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-27	28	9.0	15.9	-6.86	17.8	13.1	4.77
Nate Robinson	37	39	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.17	-8	-18	10	16.1	15.1	0.96	13.4	13.3	0.06
David Lee	48	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.23	-13	-13	0	16.8	14.2	2.54	13.6	13.1	0.54
Fred Jones	32	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-20	14	15.7	15.3	0.35	15.0	12.6	2.39
Zach Randolph	64	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	-8	-10	15.5	15.3	0.27	12.3	15.1	-2.79
Stephon Marbury	78	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.26	-20	-6	-14	15.7	14.5	1.22	13.9	11.2	2.72
Eddy Curry	54	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.08	-14	-12	-2	14.8	16.3	-1.50	13.6	13.0	0.59
Mardy Collins	37	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	-14	2	14.9	15.8	-0.89	13.0	13.5	-0.52
Quentin Richardson	66	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.10	-16	-10	-6	15.2	15.9	-0.70	13.0	14.0	-1.03
Jamal Crawford	78	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.30	-24	-2	-22	15.3	15.8	-0.47	12.6	15.7	-3.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 108, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
WAS 99, CHI 74	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.28,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
CLE 91, BKN 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%