NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	99		Excitement	4.3 [954]		MVP	Etan Thomas (WAS): +4.2%
Chicago Bulls	74		Comeback	1.2 [493]		LVP	Eddy Curry (CHI): -11.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Etan Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	7	72%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	59%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	12	67%	0.11	5	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	11	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	4	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	17	48%	0.00	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Juan Dixon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	8	55%	0.04	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	2	12%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	10	42%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	13	44%	-0.06	1	-0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.02	-0.06	18	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	7	47%	-0.05	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.07
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	10	35%	-0.09	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	28.5	15.6	26.1	1.6	32.2	130.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +41.4%

WAS +12.0%

CHI -3.9%

CHI -0.4%

WAS +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	15.2	15.7	102.1	77.1	100.5
season	15.2	15.2		96.4	94.6
opponent	15.4	15.3		101.3	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.7	15.7	14.2	15.1	14.6
CHI	13.5	15.0	17.1	15.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Etan Thomas	62	61	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.17	23	2	21	14.9	14.2	0.65	15.2	15.3	-0.09
Larry Hughes	73	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.23	23	2	21	14.5	15.0	-0.45	15.3	15.0	0.24
Kwame Brown	63	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.34	23	2	21	14.7	14.4	0.27	15.5	14.7	0.86
Gilbert Arenas	75	76	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.08	13	12	1	14.7	14.5	0.21	15.4	14.5	0.86
Jarvis Hayes	66	64	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	20	-15	14.1	15.7	-1.60	14.6	16.4	-1.81
Christian Laettner	40	40	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.19	15	10	5	15.4	14.0	1.41	16.2	14.5	1.71
Juan Dixon	38	35	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.16	14	11	3	15.2	14.2	0.97	15.3	15.2	0.09
Jared Jeffries	25	25	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	18	-11	14.4	14.7	-0.29	14.4	15.5	-1.07
Steve Blake	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	25	-25	12.4	14.8	-2.45	12.4	15.4	-3.02
Brendan Haywood	35	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.07	2	23	-21	14.2	14.9	-0.65	15.3	15.2	0.09

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Robinson	34	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	-21	17	14.7	15.5	-0.86	15.3	14.2	1.09
Lonny Baxter	38	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-26	27	14.6	15.7	-1.08	15.2	14.3	0.90
Corie Blount	18	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.20	-10	-15	5	16.6	14.9	1.70	12.0	15.3	-3.26
Roger Mason Jr.	23	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.01	-5	-20	15	13.7	15.7	-2.02	14.6	14.6	-0.07
Donyell Marshall	33	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-20	15	13.9	15.9	-2.06	15.0	14.4	0.58
Kendall Gill	32	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-18	11	14.5	15.6	-1.05	15.0	14.4	0.54
Marcus Fizer	39	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.13	-13	-12	-1	15.6	14.9	0.69	14.1	14.9	-0.84
Scottie Pippen	61	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.26	-20	-5	-15	15.9	14.1	1.71	14.6	14.7	-0.09
Jamal Crawford	73	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.22	-20	-5	-15	15.7	13.7	2.02	14.6	14.6	0.07
Eddy Curry	64	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.25	-23	-2	-21	15.7	14.3	1.33	15.2	13.5	1.67
Jalen Rose	65	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.13	-19	-6	-13	15.3	15.1	0.15	14.1	15.7	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.28,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 106, MIN 92	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
CLE 91, BKN 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
GSW 108, NYK 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%