NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	94		Excitement	8.6 [155]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +39.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	5.6 [208]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -23.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.23	0.04	0.18	-0.01	21	54%	0.34	2	-0.11	6	100%	0.10
Jason Hart	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	4	87%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	8	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Gordan Giricek	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	87%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	60%	0.12	3	-0.13	6	100%	0.04
Mehmet Okur	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	7	41%	-0.03	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Paul Millsap	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.29,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	17	29%	-0.13	2	-0.10	4	75%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.4	0.40	0.09	0.32	0.01	27	58%	0.52	5	-0.12	15	87%	0.12
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.27	0.27	0.06	0.21	0.00	12	59%	0.29	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	9	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.06	0.00	5	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Dwayne Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	12	42%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	9	27%	-0.07	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	27.3	14.8	28.2	2.4	38.3	138.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +19.9%

CLE +10.9%

UTA -0.2%

CLE +18.6%

CLE +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CLE	NBA	UTA	CLE	NBA
this game	15.0	14.9	15.4	97.9	102.1	105.7
season	15.5	16.4		111.2	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.0		104.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.7	17.0	14.3	13.0	15.0
CLE	15.0	14.3	14.5	15.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Hart	23	25	0.43	-0.93	1.36	-0.07	17	-22	39	13.5	15.4	-1.89	16.5	14.3	2.15
Ronnie Brewer	62	64	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.02	7	-12	19	14.4	16.0	-1.57	14.2	16.1	-1.87
Jarron Collins	31	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-8	11	15.5	14.7	0.73	15.4	14.6	0.81
Matt Harpring	25	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-6	7	15.2	14.9	0.33	16.3	14.3	2.00
Paul Millsap	26	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-3	1	14.6	15.1	-0.52	14.6	15.0	-0.48
Carlos Boozer	70	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.18	-3	-2	-1	15.1	14.6	0.52	15.0	14.6	0.48
Andrei Kirilenko	71	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.22	-6	1	-7	14.9	15.2	-0.33	14.3	16.3	-2.00
Mehmet Okur	65	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	3	-11	14.7	15.5	-0.73	14.6	15.4	-0.81
Gordan Giricek	34	33	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.33	-12	7	-19	16.0	14.4	1.57	16.1	14.2	1.87
Deron Williams	73	72	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.28	-22	17	-39	15.4	13.5	1.89	14.3	16.5	-2.15

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	81	81	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.36	13	-8	21	14.8	15.2	-0.36	15.1	13.9	1.21
Daniel Gibson	72	72	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.22	10	-5	15	14.6	15.7	-1.07	14.7	15.6	-0.89
Damon Jones	33	32	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.35	1	4	-3	16.9	13.8	3.07	14.8	15.0	-0.22
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	68	65	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	-2	9	15.1	14.3	0.82	15.5	13.8	1.75
Ira Newble	44	46	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	1	3	15.4	14.5	0.87	14.4	15.5	-1.09
Drew Gooden	57	56	0.29	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	1	3	14.0	16.2	-2.24	15.1	14.7	0.44
Dwayne Jones	10	11	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	5	-5	13.3	15.1	-1.77	14.2	15.1	-0.88
Devin Brown	50	50	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.25	-9	14	-23	14.5	15.3	-0.88	14.3	15.7	-1.42
Sasha Pavlovic	55	53	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.10	2	3	-1	14.5	15.4	-0.87	15.7	14.0	1.65
Cedric Simmons	15	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.08	-7	12	-19	16.9	14.5	2.42	14.1	15.1	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.15,0.26,0.2,0.29,0.25,0.53,0.7,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.9,0.9,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.78,0.74,1	91.1%
BKN 95, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.83,1	90.4%
WAS 112, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.36,0.53,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.94,0.74,1	90.2%