NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	79		Excitement	2.6 [1233]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +9.8%
Detroit Pistons	103		Comeback	1.1 [1161]		LVP	Ruben Patterson (LAC): -5.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.02	14	69%	0.11	5	-0.04	8	87%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.04	11	56%	0.10	2	-0.03	12	92%	0.04
Dan Dickau	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	87%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Thornton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	7	21%	-0.03	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	13	32%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	10%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	0.00	0.05	14	79%	0.13	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	8	87%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	48%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	12	47%	0.03	1	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	44%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	8	37%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.5	34.3	17.7	25.6	2.7	28.4	137.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +43.2%

LAC -10.1%

DET +11.9%

DET +0.8%

DET +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DET	NBA	LAC	DET	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	15.4	84.9	110.8	105.7
season	15.6	16.8		99.5	108.8
opponent	15.8	15.1		101.3	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.0	14.7	16.0	14.8	15.6
DET	14.3	16.0	16.0	15.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Dickau	24	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-27	30	14.7	15.9	-1.13	15.2	15.4	-0.17
Josh Powell	27	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-24	24	14.7	15.9	-1.20	15.3	15.4	-0.15
Ruben Patterson	31	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-21	18	15.1	15.8	-0.69	16.2	15.0	1.18
Paul Davis	14	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-18	12	14.8	15.7	-0.95	18.4	14.8	3.61
Sam Cassell	43	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-19	14	15.0	16.1	-1.10	17.2	13.9	3.35
Al Thornton	45	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.27	-19	-5	-14	16.5	14.7	1.82	13.6	17.0	-3.40
Brevin Knight	26	27	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.35	-22	-2	-20	17.3	14.9	2.44	12.6	16.5	-3.87
Chris Kaman	79	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.22	-18	-6	-12	15.7	14.8	0.95	14.8	18.4	-3.61
Corey Maggette	67	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	-13	2	14.8	17.7	-2.97	15.6	14.8	0.84
Quinton Ross	48	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.32	-22	-2	-20	16.0	15.2	0.80	15.7	15.1	0.60
Tim Thomas	61	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	-7	-10	16.1	14.6	1.52	15.8	14.5	1.34

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	59	59	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.46	35	-11	46	15.4	15.4	-0.06	16.3	14.4	1.86
Antonio McDyess	43	41	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.15	23	1	22	16.5	14.4	2.07	16.3	15.0	1.34
Tayshaun Prince	51	51	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.34	28	-4	32	15.8	14.8	1.03	16.3	14.8	1.51
Chauncey Billups	51	53	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.27	19	5	14	15.8	14.9	0.90	15.4	15.8	-0.37
Nazr Mohammed	47	49	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.21	15	9	6	13.8	17.0	-3.21	15.3	15.9	-0.60
Ronald Murray	42	40	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	19	-14	14.9	15.8	-0.90	15.8	15.4	0.37
Jason Maxiell	35	33	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	17	-10	15.4	15.4	0.04	15.8	15.5	0.35
Jarvis Hayes	51	51	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.09	5	19	-14	14.6	16.4	-1.79	15.1	16.1	-1.01
Rasheed Wallace	28	29	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	27	-30	17.0	14.7	2.37	15.3	15.7	-0.41
Amir Johnson	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	27	-30	15.2	15.4	-0.17	14.7	15.9	-1.13
Arron Afflalo	34	35	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.25	-11	35	-46	15.4	15.4	0.06	14.2	16.4	-2.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 94, SAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
DEN 85, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
PHI 88, TOR 120	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%