inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 85 Excitement2.3 [1210] MVPHorace Grant (ORL): +4.9%
Orlando Magic 103 Comeback1.1 [1089] LVPBryant Stith (DEN): -7.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Johnny Newman0.000,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.06-0.000.061664%0.032-0.02475%0.01
Tony Battie0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001246%0.0000.002100%0.00
Joe Wolf0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Priest Lauderdale-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04430%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Anthony Goldwire-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.100.000.12781%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Eric Washington-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.04935%-0.032-0.02250%-0.01
Dean Garrett-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.00825%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Danny Fortson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.130.00-0.08250%-0.025-0.03650%-0.01
Bobby Jackson-0.060,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.12-0.00-0.061129%-0.042-0.02250%-0.01
Bryant Stith-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.000.05761%-0.013-0.064100%0.02

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Horace Grant0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.090.000.041566%0.051-0.00250%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.00-0.05664%0.033-0.002100%0.00
Mark Price0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.01-0.04758%0.062-0.045100%0.02
Bo Outlaw0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.020.011069%0.083-0.05667%-0.01
Derek Strong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.060.00-0.08856%0.053-0.03967%0.01
Nick Anderson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.011357%0.021-0.0020%-0.02
Gerald Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04367%0.0030.0000%0.00
Tim Kempton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01450%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Rony Seikaly0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.110.00-0.051125%-0.041-0.022100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.32.627.216.424.52.426.2127.7
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +39.8%
ORL +0.5%
ORL +1.5%
ORL +4.0%
ORL +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENORLNBADENORLNBA
this game16.115.515.693.4113.2102.5
season16.216.796.7100.3
opponent15.615.2101.4109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.518.216.213.816.1
ORL12.816.115.817.515.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Wolf330.00-0.500.500.000-181810.716.3-5.6615.015.5-0.52
Priest Lauderdale1516-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-232813.116.7-3.6017.215.12.12
Eric Washington1716-0.15-0.350.190.08-8-10212.117.1-5.0217.415.12.34
Anthony Goldwire4039-0.18-0.320.14-0.211-192014.617.3-2.7115.315.6-0.30
Johnny Newman6261-0.18-0.320.14-0.03-5-13817.114.12.9414.916.7-1.78
Dean Garrett7068-0.30-0.20-0.090.08-13-5-817.013.33.6514.718.0-3.34
Bobby Jackson5557-0.32-0.18-0.140.24-191-2016.715.21.4815.615.30.29
Danny Fortson4141-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.09-8-10215.117.0-1.8116.015.10.90
LaPhonso Ellis3839-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.09-8-10215.116.9-1.7817.014.42.62
Tony Battie5557-0.35-0.15-0.200.18-180-1816.914.91.9815.715.20.43
Bryant Stith5958-0.36-0.14-0.230.14-17-1-1617.513.73.8414.617.1-2.44

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bo Outlaw80820.55-0.050.61-0.1825-73215.316.7-1.3916.017.0-0.95
Horace Grant64660.420.080.35-0.051621415.016.6-1.6017.113.63.51
Nick Anderson65660.350.150.19-0.061441014.917.1-2.2016.515.21.36
Rony Seikaly62620.310.190.13-0.2419-12014.816.9-2.0916.814.72.13
Darrell Armstrong42400.280.220.070.11612-616.814.42.3314.617.4-2.80
Mark Price50520.240.26-0.02-0.171441014.217.1-2.9017.014.92.09
Derek Strong40370.240.26-0.030.18216-1416.914.42.4416.116.2-0.15
Gerald Wilkins28270.100.40-0.300.10018-1817.614.63.0415.716.3-0.62
Brian Evans14130.000.50-0.500.09-321-2416.615.31.2613.116.7-3.58
Tim Kempton10100.000.50-0.500.09-321-2416.515.41.1211.016.8-5.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 82, SAS 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
BOS 94, SAC 1090.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
HOU 94, OKC 1090.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%