NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	112		Excitement	9.0 [113]		MVP	Allen Iverson (DEN): +23.0%
New York Knicks	119		Comeback	7.1 [115]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): -13.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.23	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.09	0.14	0.00	22	60%	0.32	3	-0.09	9	56%	-0.05
Nene	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.00	7	57%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	13	64%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Eduardo Najera	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	11	59%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Camby	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	7	45%	-0.07	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Carmelo Anthony	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	20	45%	0.05	3	-0.18	13	77%	0.05

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.11	0.01	16	65%	0.28	4	-0.10	5	40%	-0.07
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	6	79%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.24,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.01	15	62%	0.17	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.04
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	15	59%	0.12	3	-0.09	7	57%	-0.05
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.03	19	54%	0.11	4	-0.10	8	75%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	9	47%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	31.2	17.6	30.3	2.5	42.1	148.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +11.8%

NYK +0.4%

NYK +50.0%

DEN -8.2%

DEN -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NYK	NBA	DEN	NYK	NBA
this game	13.3	15.2	15.4	109.8	119.0	105.7
season	13.3	15.7		108.2	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.2		109.9	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.7	12.2	13.5	15.0	13.3
NYK	15.0	14.0	15.9	16.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	50	49	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.00	1	-8	9	12.3	14.3	-1.99	15.8	14.7	1.17
Yakhouba Diawara	22	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-1	-5	11.8	13.7	-1.94	12.7	15.9	-3.26
Eduardo Najera	63	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.18	1	-8	9	13.4	13.2	0.23	15.6	14.7	0.90
Allen Iverson	93	93	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-8	9	13.6	10.2	3.37	15.5	11.9	3.64
Marcus Camby	74	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-2	-3	13.2	13.5	-0.23	15.2	15.3	-0.13
Nene	53	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	-1	-5	13.7	12.8	0.88	15.3	15.1	0.23
Carmelo Anthony	84	82	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.18	-13	6	-19	13.2	13.5	-0.25	15.1	16.1	-0.99
Linas Kleiza	70	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.33	-8	1	-9	14.0	11.7	2.30	15.1	15.5	-0.39

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Renaldo Balkman	54	55	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.36	11	-4	15	16.1	14.2	1.89	13.9	12.6	1.30
Stephon Marbury	76	78	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.32	12	-5	17	14.9	16.2	-1.33	13.1	14.0	-0.92
Jamal Crawford	91	93	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.31	9	-2	11	15.3	14.8	0.51	13.5	11.4	2.03
Zach Randolph	79	82	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.22	12	-5	17	14.9	16.6	-1.69	13.1	13.9	-0.82
Eddy Curry	72	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	4	-1	15.7	14.1	1.52	13.4	13.0	0.37
David Lee	48	47	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	10	-13	15.5	15.0	0.46	13.9	12.8	1.07
Nate Robinson	30	30	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	11	-15	15.7	15.0	0.70	14.1	13.0	1.09
Quentin Richardson	50	53	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.13	-5	12	-17	14.1	16.4	-2.24	11.8	14.9	-3.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.35,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.25,0.13,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.3,0.35,0.46,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 81, ORL 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.66,0.53,0.79,0.85,0.99,1	92.0%
HOU 103, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.47,0.38,0.63,0.78,0.73,1	91.6%
PHX 90, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.41,0.39,0.62,0.84,0.84,0.98,1	90.9%