NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	109		Excitement	6.5 [467]		MVP	Jordan Farmar (LAL): +24.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	119		Comeback	2.1 [482]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -12.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.02	0.06	18	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	9	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.08
Paul Millsap	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	71%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Matt Harpring	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.00	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	18	56%	0.14	5	-0.14	5	100%	0.03
Jarron Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	7	64%	0.06	3	-0.09	8	75%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	14	35%	-0.09	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.08,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.15	0.00	8	71%	0.24	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.10	0.02	7	88%	0.22	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.08	0.02	19	72%	0.30	5	-0.13	8	75%	-0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	71%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	56%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	0.04	11	53%	-0.01	3	-0.04	14	93%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	8	53%	0.00	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.7	30.4	15.4	27.4	2.5	33.2	139.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +35.4%

LAL +7.4%

LAL +3.1%

UTA -2.5%

LAL +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	14.2	13.0	15.4	101.9	113.3	105.7
season	15.5	14.6		111.2	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.0		104.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.3	12.4	14.6	13.8	14.2
LAL	12.0	12.0	13.0	15.0	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	36	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-5	0	14.7	13.9	0.75	12.1	13.4	-1.29
Paul Millsap	37	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-9	8	12.8	14.9	-2.08	12.9	13.0	-0.16
Mehmet Okur	77	77	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-4	-2	14.7	13.0	1.71	12.9	13.0	-0.05
Ronnie Brewer	75	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-3	-4	14.3	13.9	0.41	13.0	12.9	0.08
Jason Hart	18	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-3	-4	15.2	14.0	1.17	12.3	13.1	-0.85
Deron Williams	89	86	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-7	4	14.0	15.2	-1.17	13.1	12.3	0.85
Carlos Boozer	78	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-4	-2	14.6	13.1	1.55	13.3	12.1	1.23
Gordan Giricek	32	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-7	4	13.9	14.3	-0.41	12.9	13.0	-0.08
Andrei Kirilenko	71	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-5	0	13.9	14.7	-0.75	13.4	12.1	1.29
Jarron Collins	22	22	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-3	-4	13.3	14.4	-1.11	12.0	13.2	-1.22

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	93	94	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-3	16	12.8	14.0	-1.17	14.6	11.5	3.03
Jordan Farmar	37	38	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-1	12	13.6	12.6	0.98	14.2	14.2	0.02
Andrew Bynum	39	39	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-4	18	14.2	12.3	1.90	15.4	13.5	1.91
Ronny Turiaf	50	52	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	3	4	13.9	12.1	1.79	14.3	14.1	0.14
Maurice Evans	27	27	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	3	4	12.6	13.1	-0.55	13.6	14.4	-0.81
Luke Walton	75	77	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	6	-2	13.1	12.5	0.60	14.6	13.0	1.62
Vladimir Radmanovic	58	58	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	9	-8	12.1	14.1	-2.03	13.7	14.7	-0.99
Chris Mihm	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	10	-10	12.0	13.1	-1.15	13.1	14.4	-1.35
Sasha Vujacic	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	24.0	12.9	11.14	0.0	14.3	-14.33
Derek Fisher	68	69	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	11	-12	12.6	13.6	-0.98	14.2	14.2	-0.02
Kwame Brown	46	48	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	12	-14	12.4	13.4	-0.94	14.1	14.3	-0.20
Brian Cook	14	15	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.01	-4	14	-18	12.9	13.0	-0.04	11.6	14.6	-3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.62,0.75,0.63,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 91, GSW 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%
SEA 98, PHI 117	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
MIA 76, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1	93.6%