NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	95		Excitement	6.2 [540]		MVP	Shane Battier (HOU): +27.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	93		Comeback	2.3 [661]		LVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): -16.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.28	-0.01	0.28	-0.01	11	46%	0.31	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Tracy McGrady	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	20	58%	0.16	3	-0.05	12	83%	0.03
Yao Ming	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.01	16	62%	0.12	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Charles Hayes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	80%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	54%	0.05	3	-0.06	4	0%	-0.06
Luis Scola	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	6	36%	0.02	4	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.26	0.26	0.11	0.17	0.02	9	77%	0.28	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Coby Karl	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	8	40%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	0.10	32	49%	-0.01	5	-0.13	27	67%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	3.0	31.3	19.6	30.4	3.3	47.6	165.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +44.6%

HOU +10.3%

HOU +4.3%

LAL -15.1%

HOU +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.3	15.4	96.0	96.9	105.7
season	16.2	14.6		104.6	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.2		104.1	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.6	14.0	14.8	15.4	15.2
LAL	13.4	15.4	15.9	12.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	85	83	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	-3	8	15.4	14.1	1.31	13.9	17.1	-3.17
Shane Battier	77	75	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	-4	10	15.3	14.7	0.60	14.4	14.1	0.24
Charles Hayes	52	52	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.27	5	-3	8	15.8	14.6	1.22	14.2	14.5	-0.31
Tracy McGrady	83	81	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.49	-4	6	-10	15.0	16.1	-1.11	14.0	16.3	-2.37
Rafer Alston	61	60	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.39	-3	5	-8	14.9	15.7	-0.80	13.8	15.3	-1.51
Mike James	56	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.32	-3	5	-8	14.3	16.4	-2.13	14.3	14.4	-0.15
Bonzi Wells	38	36	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.13	2	0	2	15.3	15.1	0.20	15.1	13.9	1.16
Luther Head	12	12	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.06	7	-5	12	17.2	14.9	2.34	16.3	14.0	2.29
Dikembe Mutombo	12	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	4	-6	14.9	15.2	-0.31	18.0	13.9	4.14
Luis Scola	19	17	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	5	-8	15.4	15.1	0.22	15.3	14.1	1.17

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Coby Karl	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-6	10	14.0	14.3	-0.34	17.0	15.2	1.83
Ronny Turiaf	48	50	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-6	10	13.1	15.5	-2.42	16.3	14.0	2.32
Chris Mihm	15	16	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.05	-4	2	-6	17.6	13.7	3.87	16.1	15.0	1.11
Andrew Bynum	37	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	2	-6	15.1	13.9	1.17	15.4	15.1	0.35
Jordan Farmar	43	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	3	-8	14.7	14.0	0.66	13.8	16.3	-2.55
Brian Cook	17	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	8	-18	16.8	13.8	3.03	14.3	15.4	-1.08
Maurice Evans	26	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	9	-20	17.0	13.4	3.60	15.2	15.2	0.08
Kwame Brown	57	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.31	1	-3	4	13.9	14.9	-0.95	15.3	15.1	0.21
Derek Fisher	70	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.52	8	-10	18	13.6	16.4	-2.81	15.1	15.6	-0.50
Luke Walton	79	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.45	4	-6	10	14.3	14.5	-0.17	15.2	15.0	0.18
Kobe Bryant	87	91	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-5	8	13.6	21.7	-8.09	15.1	15.7	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 98, ATL 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.28,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
MIL 105, CHA 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.06,0.15,0.21,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
SAC 109, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%