NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	109		Excitement	4.6 [870]		MVP	Brad Miller (SAC): +22.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	99		Comeback	2.1 [279]		LVP	Reggie Evans (PHI): -11.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.23	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.17	0.06	0.01	12	83%	0.24	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Mikki Moore	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.22	0.03	0.06	11	92%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	16	54%	0.07	5	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	7	50%	0.06	4	-0.07	4	50%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	15	44%	0.02	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.03	14	75%	0.13	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	10	68%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	72%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	15	52%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	5	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	12	50%	0.06	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.03
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	3	40%	-0.02	4	-0.10	4	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.6	33.1	15.5	27.3	2.5	33.2	140.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +30.1%

SAC +1.4%

SAC +11.9%

SAC +11.4%

PHI -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHI	NBA	SAC	PHI	NBA
this game	16.2	14.7	15.4	117.2	106.5	105.7
season	14.9	15.2		105.6	104.0
opponent	16.2	15.0		104.2	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.5	14.9	17.4	15.4	16.2
PHI	16.0	16.4	16.0	11.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	72	71	0.65	-0.14	0.79	0.15	17	-7	24	16.3	16.0	0.23	14.3	16.3	-2.01
Metta World Peace	76	78	0.56	-0.07	0.63	-0.02	20	-10	30	16.5	15.0	1.50	14.7	14.9	-0.15
Mikki Moore	72	73	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.15	14	-4	18	16.6	14.9	1.77	14.7	14.9	-0.20
John Salmons	79	79	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	-1	12	16.6	14.0	2.62	13.8	20.3	-6.53
Brad Miller	75	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	1	8	16.9	13.3	3.66	14.4	16.0	-1.60
Dahntay Jones	17	15	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	14	-18	14.1	16.7	-2.58	12.5	15.2	-2.71
Kenny Thomas	14	13	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	11	-12	13.9	16.6	-2.79	17.4	14.3	3.07
Spencer Hawes	19	20	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	15	-20	14.7	16.6	-1.94	16.0	14.4	1.67
Quincy Douby	11	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	13	-16	14.5	16.5	-2.01	17.0	14.4	2.56
Francisco Garcia	30	32	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.10	-8	18	-26	15.6	16.5	-0.97	17.6	13.3	4.30

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	18	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-12	14	14.2	14.9	-0.64	14.6	16.6	-2.00
Reggie Evans	41	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-8	6	16.4	13.5	2.90	17.4	15.3	2.04
Jason Smith	29	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-6	2	15.7	14.3	1.38	14.6	17.0	-2.35
Lou Williams	48	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-7	4	14.0	15.5	-1.45	15.1	17.4	-2.36
Willie Green	60	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-5	0	15.4	13.5	2.00	16.8	15.1	1.76
Kyle Korver	54	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	14.5	15.1	-0.58	15.6	17.0	-1.38
Samuel Dalembert	65	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-3	-4	14.6	15.1	-0.57	17.0	14.6	2.43
Andre Miller	68	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-1	-8	13.8	17.2	-3.42	16.7	14.9	1.79
Andre Iguodala	82	83	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.14	-15	5	-20	14.7	15.4	-0.71	16.2	16.6	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 115, HOU 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
MIL 101, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.23,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.6%
NOH 94, POR 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%