NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	91		Excitement	5.0 [820]		MVP	Gordan Giricek (UTA): +18.9%
Utah Jazz	101		Comeback	3.1 [837]		LVP	Vassilis Spanoulis (HOU): -10.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luther Head	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	12	64%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kirk Snyder	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	10	58%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Charles Hayes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.05	16	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Steve Novak	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	13	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Vassilis Spanoulis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	0.03	7	50%	-0.02	4	-0.09	12	92%	0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.06	-0.05	10	64%	0.19	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	0.01	7	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	8	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rafael Araujo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	59%	0.03	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	11	54%	0.02	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	38%	0.01	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.5	30.2	14.8	30.5	2.0	32.3	136.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +38.2%

HOU -7.2%

UTA +21.0%

HOU -9.6%

UTA +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	15.0	15.4	97.8	108.6	104.5
season	15.6	15.9		103.6	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.7		104.9	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.4	16.5	17.4	15.5	16.0
UTA	16.9	14.8	13.3	15.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	23	22	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.10	12	-22	34	14.4	16.5	-2.08	17.7	14.2	3.50
Shane Battier	19	19	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.09	9	-19	28	14.2	16.4	-2.19	17.5	14.4	3.10
Charles Hayes	51	52	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.23	6	-16	22	15.5	16.6	-1.12	14.7	15.5	-0.81
Juwan Howard	63	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.19	1	-11	12	15.6	16.7	-1.05	15.5	14.0	1.54
Luther Head	57	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-7	4	15.8	16.2	-0.39	14.8	15.3	-0.44
Steve Novak	38	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	1	-12	15.7	16.2	-0.51	15.0	15.0	-0.06
Jake Tsakalidis	34	35	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.07	-16	6	-22	17.7	15.0	2.71	14.7	15.2	-0.57
Kirk Snyder	68	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	2	-14	16.5	14.4	2.13	14.3	16.9	-2.61
Vassilis Spanoulis	52	53	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.13	-15	5	-20	16.3	15.5	0.84	15.0	15.0	-0.07
John Lucas III	60	60	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.05	-21	11	-32	16.3	15.4	0.92	14.2	16.4	-2.19

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dee Brown	60	61	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.03	22	-12	34	14.4	16.2	-1.77	16.5	14.9	1.55
Paul Millsap	57	57	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.03	22	-12	34	14.5	15.9	-1.43	16.6	15.0	1.61
Gordan Giricek	51	49	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.04	17	-7	24	14.2	16.0	-1.72	16.4	15.5	0.95
Ronnie Brewer	34	35	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-6	22	15.1	14.9	0.17	15.9	16.0	-0.11
Rafael Araujo	32	34	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	-3	16	14.7	15.1	-0.40	15.9	16.0	-0.02
Matt Harpring	28	26	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	2	6	13.9	15.5	-1.55	17.3	15.4	1.82
Jarron Collins	23	21	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	7	-4	15.0	15.0	-0.01	16.5	15.8	0.73
Mehmet Okur	38	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.16	-6	16	-22	15.2	14.9	0.38	15.7	16.2	-0.51
Andrei Kirilenko	42	44	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.16	-7	17	-24	16.0	14.2	1.72	15.5	16.4	-0.95
Carlos Boozer	36	36	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.18	-12	22	-34	15.9	14.5	1.43	15.0	16.6	-1.61
Deron Williams	33	32	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.17	-12	22	-34	16.2	14.4	1.77	14.9	16.5	-1.55
Derek Fisher	31	32	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.22	-14	24	-38	15.9	14.6	1.29	15.0	16.5	-1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 87, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,0.98,1,1,1	94.5%
TOR 95, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	93.9%
NOH 98, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%