NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	122		Excitement	8.2 [236]		MVP	Joe Smith (PHI): +25.7%
Toronto Raptors	119		Comeback	4.8 [145]		LVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): -11.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.18	0.09	0.02	17	68%	0.26	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Willie Green	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.14,0.22,0.22	0.12	0.10	-0.00	25	69%	0.40	7	-0.19	4	100%	0.03
Andre Miller	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.18,0.12,0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.01	15	64%	0.30	4	-0.15	15	87%	0.03
Bobby Jones	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.10	0.00	9	64%	0.17	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.06
Lou Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	11	46%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Alan Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lou Amundson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.23	0.09	0.07	16	81%	0.27	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	6	78%	0.16	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.00	12	53%	0.15	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	10	75%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	5	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	5	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.09	-0.00	16	64%	0.12	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	9	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.00	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	0.7	29.4	16.4	26.5	2.3	34.0	135.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +9.0%

PHI +16.6%

PHI +23.0%

PHI +2.7%

TOR -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	14.3	14.2	15.4	120.8	117.8	104.5
season	15.5	15.2		101.7	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.1	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.8	11.0	15.3	14.5	14.3
TOR	12.0	15.7	14.1	14.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	80	79	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.42	16	-13	29	13.7	16.8	-3.05	14.5	13.0	1.49
Willie Green	76	76	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.51	5	-2	7	14.6	13.5	1.10	13.5	16.3	-2.86
Andre Miller	101	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.41	3	0	3	14.3	0.0	14.35	14.2	0.0	14.17
Joe Smith	84	85	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.38	1	2	-1	14.9	11.7	3.18	14.1	14.7	-0.69
Bobby Jones	62	63	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.42	-6	9	-15	14.3	14.4	-0.15	14.5	13.6	0.94
Lou Amundson	29	31	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.03	2	1	1	12.2	15.2	-3.00	14.9	13.9	1.01
Samuel Dalembert	46	44	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	6	-9	15.7	13.2	2.44	14.0	14.3	-0.38
Alan Henderson	27	26	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.08	-3	6	-9	14.0	14.5	-0.52	14.3	14.1	0.14

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. Ford	54	55	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.06	9	-12	21	13.0	15.6	-2.59	15.7	12.7	2.99
Rasho Nesterovic	37	39	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.01	7	-10	17	13.3	14.7	-1.33	16.7	12.8	3.90
Anthony Parker	66	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.43	8	-11	19	12.8	16.8	-3.98	15.0	13.1	1.94
Kris Humphries	36	35	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	5	-13	16.4	12.9	3.54	13.1	15.0	-1.93
Chris Bosh	80	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.45	2	-5	7	13.1	18.0	-4.90	14.6	13.6	1.01
Luke Jackson	78	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-2	1	14.5	13.1	1.40	15.0	11.8	3.20
Juan Dixon	49	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	8	-19	15.5	12.9	2.53	12.5	15.9	-3.39
Andrea Bargnani	58	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.26	-9	6	-15	14.7	13.4	1.35	13.0	16.2	-3.20
Jose Calderon	47	46	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.35	-12	9	-21	15.6	13.0	2.59	12.7	15.7	-2.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.16,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 108, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.21,0.09,0.09,0	91.0%
MIL 108, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.1,0.16,0.15,0	90.5%
MIA 87, IND 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.3,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.63,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.38,0.1,0.04,0,0	90.5%