inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 93 Excitement2.6 [1238] MVPCarlos Boozer (UTA): +10.4%
Utah Jazz 130 Comeback1.4 [1288] LVPFred Jones (POR): -5.6%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.03757%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Travis Outlaw0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.12-0.000.081259%0.041-0.012090%0.03
Dan Dickau0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.000.04968%0.051-0.0210%-0.00
Jarrett Jack-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.090.00-0.08853%0.036-0.041100%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.010,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00458%0.032-0.04475%0.00
Martell Webster-0.010,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.011342%-0.0100.00729%-0.01
Sergio Rodriguez-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01643%-0.013-0.04250%-0.01
Luke Schenscher-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.000.00330%-0.051-0.00475%-0.01
Fred Jones-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.000.03750%-0.042-0.0200%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.160.000.061481%0.122-0.01450%-0.02
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.160.000.10694%0.0700.00580%0.02
Derek Fisher0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.020.03465%0.0600.001292%0.05
Gordan Giricek0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.190.010.148105%0.052-0.004100%0.01
Deron Williams0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.00-0.031154%0.032-0.00250%-0.01
Matt Harpring0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.00-0.03761%0.053-0.02475%0.01
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.00350%0.0200.002100%0.01
Mehmet Okur0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.011348%0.021-0.02786%0.01
Rafael Araujo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04375%0.0000.002100%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Dee Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.02333%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.532.515.533.21.725.4138.0
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +18.2%
UTA +13.3%
UTA +8.6%
UTA +8.1%
UTA +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORUTANBAPORUTANBA
this game15.914.115.496.9135.4104.5
season16.715.9103.1107.4
opponent15.015.4104.9108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR17.015.216.115.315.9
UTA13.813.013.216.714.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamaal Magloire2728-0.03-0.470.45-0.092-394116.215.80.4314.014.2-0.23
Fred Jones4950-0.14-0.360.220.12-9-281916.615.11.5513.414.9-1.51
Raef LaFrentz5757-0.23-0.270.040.65-30-7-2316.015.70.3513.814.6-0.78
Jarrett Jack6362-0.25-0.250.010.19-15-22715.217.2-2.0413.714.9-1.17
Dan Dickau4546-0.27-0.23-0.050.46-25-12-1315.416.3-0.8914.913.41.47
Sergio Rodriguez4343-0.34-0.16-0.190.54-30-7-2316.115.70.3515.313.22.09
Luke Schenscher3534-0.35-0.15-0.200.09-15-22716.315.60.6913.514.5-1.01
Travis Outlaw7070-0.43-0.07-0.360.45-30-7-2316.015.50.4614.213.80.38
Martell Webster9190-0.46-0.04-0.420.51-33-4-2915.620.0-4.3514.311.72.62

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Fisher56570.340.160.19-0.242017313.015.7-2.7416.015.70.35
Carlos Boozer62620.330.170.16-0.4025121313.215.8-2.5415.416.7-1.33
Deron Williams59610.320.180.13-0.211819-113.814.6-0.7216.315.11.29
Andrei Kirilenko51530.290.210.08-0.4124131112.416.1-3.7015.016.9-1.91
Mehmet Okur53540.270.230.03-0.261819-113.015.5-2.4716.015.70.24
Jarron Collins25230.230.27-0.04-0.03928-1914.314.10.2117.015.51.48
Matt Harpring42420.210.29-0.080.00730-2316.112.63.5416.415.50.90
Gordan Giricek45430.180.32-0.13-0.351819-115.612.82.8615.815.9-0.11
Paul Millsap36370.170.33-0.16-0.09928-1916.212.93.3616.515.51.04
Dee Brown32310.160.34-0.19-0.371819-114.513.90.5614.816.4-1.63
Rafael Araujo980.000.50-0.50-0.26928-1916.213.92.3115.215.9-0.68
Ronnie Brewer1090.000.50-0.50-0.291027-1716.213.92.3216.215.80.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 84, POR 1210.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
UTA 79, ATL 1110.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
SAC 101, DAL 1270.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%