NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	105		Excitement	7.2 [395]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +22.9%
Toronto Raptors	107		Comeback	4.0 [816]		LVP	Channing Frye (NYK): -14.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.2	0.18	0.05	0.04	14	72%	0.22	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.04
Malik Rose	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.11	-0.01	12	67%	0.25	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.06
Eddy Curry	0.03	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.01	17	68%	0.23	6	-0.20	10	80%	-0.00
Jared Jeffries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	10	48%	-0.03	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Mardy Collins	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.06	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	5	33%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.23	0.23	0.01	0.23	0.01	14	57%	0.32	4	-0.09	12	92%	0.09
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.04	0.01	11	76%	0.19	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	17	50%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Parker	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.01	12	66%	0.18	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.00	6	75%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	29.4	16.4	31.2	1.8	43.0	150.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +27.5%

TOR +2.7%

NYK -10.8%

TOR +31.3%

NYK -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	16.7	13.6	15.4	109.4	113.8	104.5
season	15.7	15.2		103.7	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.4		104.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.5	14.4	20.3	15.3	16.7
TOR	14.5	12.7	14.7	13.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	65	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.40	8	-10	18	14.9	20.4	-5.43	13.5	13.8	-0.24
Jerome James	10	10	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	6	-14	12.6	17.2	-4.55	15.7	13.4	2.34
Eddy Curry	87	84	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.48	10	-12	22	17.4	9.6	7.86	13.4	15.4	-2.01
Channing Frye	38	38	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	5	-12	18.9	15.2	3.71	13.1	13.9	-0.80
Jared Jeffries	18	17	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	6	-14	15.9	16.8	-0.90	13.9	13.5	0.41
Malik Rose	73	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	0	-2	16.9	16.0	0.83	13.8	13.0	0.73
Mardy Collins	94	92	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	-1	0	16.9	8.0	8.86	13.6	15.0	-1.42
Steve Francis	95	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	16.5	30.0	-13.46	13.7	9.0	4.66

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	79	80	0.82	-0.33	1.15	0.36	16	-14	30	13.7	13.1	0.56	17.4	13.1	4.26
Jose Calderon	65	65	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.46	4	-2	6	14.0	12.8	1.13	15.8	18.5	-2.76
Joey Graham	51	53	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-12	26	13.3	13.9	-0.60	18.3	14.7	3.63
Chris Bosh	94	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	13.6	0.0	13.61	16.7	0.0	16.68
Kris Humphries	48	49	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.30	-3	5	-8	14.4	12.8	1.66	15.4	18.0	-2.63
Rasho Nesterovic	44	45	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	0	2	13.1	14.1	-1.01	18.7	14.9	3.87
Juan Dixon	48	48	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.38	-10	12	-22	13.6	13.6	0.08	14.0	19.3	-5.27
T.J. Ford	29	31	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	4	-6	12.8	14.0	-1.13	18.5	15.8	2.76
Luke Jackson	12	13	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.06	-13	15	-28	12.7	13.7	-0.98	13.2	17.2	-4.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.39,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 95, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.75,0.95,0.9,0.96,1	92.5%
BOS 85, PHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.73,1	92.1%
NJN 83, BOS 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.61,0.68,0.89,0.99,0.95,1	91.9%