NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	95		Excitement	6.0 [632]		MVP	Yao Ming (HOU): +21.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	90		Comeback	1.3 [972]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): -17.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.07	-0.01	19	63%	0.24	2	-0.03	11	100%	0.06
Luther Head	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	7	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	12	53%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.02
Juwan Howard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.04	0.01	24	47%	0.09	4	-0.11	10	70%	-0.01
Charles Hayes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	10%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	11	48%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mickael Gelabale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.04	-0.01	10	59%	0.08	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.07	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	13	46%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.06	0.08	8	55%	-0.06	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.07	-0.02	24	36%	-0.11	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	1.6	30.1	14.7	28.0	1.8	39.2	143.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +33.4%

HOU +9.2%

HOU +0.4%

HOU +9.3%

SEA -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SEA	NBA	HOU	SEA	NBA
this game	14.7	15.9	15.4	101.1	95.7	104.5
season	15.6	15.4		103.6	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.7		108.3	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.9	13.6	15.7	14.9	14.7
SEA	17.0	14.1	14.9	17.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luther Head	56	54	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.38	9	-4	13	14.0	15.8	-1.84	15.3	16.6	-1.32
Juwan Howard	50	50	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-7	19	15.3	14.2	1.10	16.8	14.9	1.85
Rafer Alston	82	81	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	-1	7	14.4	17.2	-2.87	16.0	15.5	0.41
Tracy McGrady	80	81	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	1	3	14.5	16.1	-1.56	15.9	16.0	-0.12
Yao Ming	58	56	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	-1	7	14.7	14.9	-0.19	15.5	16.4	-0.89
Dikembe Mutombo	29	31	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	3	-1	16.0	14.2	1.82	16.3	15.7	0.59
Shane Battier	70	71	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.37	-9	14	-23	15.1	13.8	1.28	15.7	16.4	-0.72
Charles Hayes	45	46	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	10	-15	15.0	14.6	0.40	16.0	15.8	0.17

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Brown	12	11	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-9	13	11.8	16.5	-4.65	13.6	14.9	-1.26
Earl Watson	19	18	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-5	5	18.6	15.2	3.37	14.6	14.8	-0.23
Johan Petro	32	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.07	-4	-1	-3	15.6	16.0	-0.41	14.9	14.7	0.24
Chris Wilcox	73	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-3	1	16.0	15.5	0.48	14.7	14.8	-0.13
Nick Collison	62	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	0	-5	17.4	12.9	4.48	15.8	12.7	3.17
Damien Wilkins	75	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-3	1	15.2	18.6	-3.43	14.1	16.9	-2.80
Rashard Lewis	68	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-3	1	16.9	13.2	3.68	15.2	13.4	1.89
Mickael Gelabale	58	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.19	-10	5	-15	15.3	16.8	-1.52	13.8	16.2	-2.35
Mike Wilks	71	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	-1	-3	14.8	19.3	-4.57	14.8	14.4	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.15,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	94.1%
MIN 88, SEA 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.1%
DET 89, MIL 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%