NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	92		Excitement	7.5 [348]		MVP	Renaldo Balkman (NYK): +17.9%
New York Knicks	90		Comeback	10.9 [106]		LVP	Mardy Collins (NYK): -25.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.15	0.03	0.11	0.00	13	53%	0.17	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.10	-0.01	13	58%	0.18	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Andre Miller	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	12	50%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Steven Hunter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.09	2	-0.06	3	0%	-0.06
Lou Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	3	33%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Bobby Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	30%	-0.01	1	-0.05	4	25%	-0.09
Samuel Dalembert	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	5	40%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.01	11	65%	0.21	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.04	-0.01	23	56%	0.12	3	-0.12	8	75%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	5	60%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	7	58%	0.03	7	-0.25	10	80%	-0.01
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.15	-0.12	-0.01	13	35%	-0.07	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.6	35.0	16.4	26.2	1.8	40.3	144.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +27.4%

PHI +6.1%

NYK -29.7%

PHI +47.2%

NYK -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	14.8	16.7	15.4	101.1	97.8	104.5
season	15.5	15.7		101.7	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.7		106.7	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	15.4	17.5	11.5	14.8
NYK	17.8	18.9	13.2	17.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	62	61	0.94	-0.44	1.39	0.53	14	-12	26	14.3	15.8	-1.47	17.3	15.5	1.75
Andre Miller	64	63	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.54	12	-10	22	13.2	18.5	-5.29	16.5	17.1	-0.58
Andre Iguodala	69	70	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.53	5	-3	8	14.4	15.8	-1.34	16.4	17.7	-1.34
Willie Green	38	39	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.07	13	-11	24	14.7	14.8	-0.04	17.5	16.2	1.31
Samuel Dalembert	61	63	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	0	2	14.3	15.6	-1.31	17.2	15.6	1.59
Kyle Korver	62	64	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.52	-9	11	-20	15.1	13.9	1.21	16.7	16.8	-0.11
Bobby Jones	19	17	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.06	-3	5	-8	15.1	14.7	0.37	16.8	16.7	0.07
Rodney Carney	49	50	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	0.09	-15	17	-32	16.2	13.1	3.09	15.4	18.3	-2.95
Lou Williams	31	33	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.10	-9	11	-20	17.3	13.4	3.89	16.9	16.6	0.27

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	72	69	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.09	1	-3	4	16.5	17.4	-0.95	15.6	12.1	3.52
Nate Robinson	46	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.37	11	-13	24	16.6	16.8	-0.15	15.9	13.6	2.28
Stephon Marbury	86	85	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-7	12	16.3	22.8	-6.55	15.0	11.8	3.13
Mardy Collins	84	84	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	2	-6	16.4	20.1	-3.74	14.3	20.0	-5.68
Renaldo Balkman	57	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-1	0	17.9	14.8	3.03	14.4	15.3	-0.86
Channing Frye	39	39	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.33	-15	13	-28	16.6	16.8	-0.25	12.9	16.2	-3.30
Eddy Curry	76	77	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.57	-7	5	-12	17.0	15.3	1.69	14.8	14.7	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.66,0.53,0.47,0.28,0.23,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 113, HOU 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.6,0.38,0.21,0.1,0.1,0	91.7%
LAC 100, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.46,0.28,0.1,0.05,0	91.4%
DEN 121, ORL 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.37,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.32,0.15,0.1,0.01,0	91.0%