NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	96		Excitement	8.3 [234]		MVP	Zach Randolph (POR): +33.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	92		Comeback	3.9 [178]		LVP	Dan Dickau (POR): -19.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tarence Kinsey	0.27	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.27	0.08	0.19	-0.00	13	71%	0.39	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.02	0.21	-0.02	14	51%	0.30	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.05
Hakim Warrick	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.21	0.07	0.15	0.01	13	56%	0.21	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Stromile Swift	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	80%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Lawrence Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Dahntay Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Alexander Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Junior Harrington	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	37%	0.01	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.03
Pau Gasol	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18	-0.01	-0.17	0.01	14	47%	-0.10	2	-0.08	8	87%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.18,0.11,0.2,0.33,0.34	0.34	0.19	0.19	0.04	26	63%	0.43	2	-0.10	16	69%	-0.02
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	10	59%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	0.00	4	33%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	31%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	12	46%	0.03	4	-0.16	4	75%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	0.00	6	7%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	10	30%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.05	-0.15	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	1.8	31.7	14.8	29.7	1.8	35.0	143.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +28.2%

MEM +32.6%

POR -16.9%

MEM +7.1%

POR -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	POR	NBA	MEM	POR	NBA
this game	15.3	15.8	15.4	103.2	100.0	104.5
season	15.1	16.7		105.1	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.1		108.3	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.0	17.0	13.6	15.8	15.3
POR	17.0	15.0	15.2	16.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakim Warrick	69	70	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.36	14	-10	24	14.9	16.3	-1.35	16.2	14.6	1.65
Pau Gasol	72	72	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.33	15	-11	26	15.4	14.8	0.68	17.3	10.5	6.83
Junior Harrington	62	63	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.31	12	-8	20	15.5	14.8	0.73	16.4	14.7	1.64
Tarence Kinsey	75	74	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.41	7	-3	10	15.5	14.4	1.05	16.0	15.3	0.64
Rudy Gay	79	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	1	2	14.9	17.3	-2.35	16.5	12.1	4.45
Alexander Johnson	8	7	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	8	-12	15.2	15.3	-0.04	10.9	16.3	-5.40
Lawrence Roberts	3	3	-0.07	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	6	-8	19.0	15.2	3.83	15.3	15.9	-0.53
Dahntay Jones	17	16	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	7	-10	14.8	15.4	-0.57	15.4	15.9	-0.57
Chucky Atkins	46	45	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	11	-18	15.4	15.2	0.24	13.9	17.7	-3.79
Stromile Swift	34	32	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	0.02	-15	19	-34	15.4	15.3	0.10	12.8	17.5	-4.70

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sergio Rodriguez	38	39	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.01	9	-13	22	17.7	14.5	3.17	16.6	14.4	2.24
Fred Jones	25	24	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.08	4	-8	12	15.3	16.0	-0.72	18.5	14.2	4.27
Jamaal Magloire	52	52	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.24	10	-14	24	15.9	15.8	0.13	16.0	14.3	1.70
Travis Outlaw	48	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.38	7	-11	18	14.8	17.0	-2.16	14.5	16.2	-1.62
Jarrett Jack	47	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	4	-12	14.9	16.9	-2.04	14.3	16.2	-1.91
Zach Randolph	79	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.46	2	-6	8	15.3	19.0	-3.67	15.1	16.4	-1.34
Martell Webster	25	26	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	12	-28	19.1	14.6	4.44	15.3	15.3	-0.03
Dan Dickau	16	18	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	0	-4	14.1	16.2	-2.16	15.6	15.2	0.33
Brandon Roy	77	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.45	-4	0	-4	15.7	16.7	-1.06	14.6	18.2	-3.53
LaMarcus Aldridge	53	55	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.07	-20	16	-36	16.6	14.9	1.69	14.9	15.9	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 100, DAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.24,0.42,0	90.9%
POR 104, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.19,0.27,0.37,0.35,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.42,0	90.6%
SAS 86, CLE 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.64,0.76,0.82,0.61,0.55,0.84,0.42,0	90.5%