inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 81 Excitement7.4 [366] MVPKirk Hinrich (CHI): +33.6%
Chicago Bulls 83 Comeback2.5 [673] LVPCarlos Delfino (DET): -16.7%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince0.130,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.130.060.090.022059%0.213-0.094100%0.01
Rasheed Wallace0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.03-0.021659%0.141-0.0200%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.010.00267%0.061-0.052100%0.02
Dale Davis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00757%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Jason Maxiell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00436%-0.0200.0030%-0.04
Ronald Murray-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.01312%-0.062-0.05250%-0.01
Chauncey Billups-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.13-0.14-0.01-0.021631%-0.121-0.00786%0.03
Carlos Delfino-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17-0.03-0.140.00750%-0.102-0.0700%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.340.34-0.000.33-0.011445%0.381-0.04560%-0.01
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.110.11-0.010.11-0.011951%0.172-0.061173%0.03
Tyrus Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.02959%0.123-0.13475%-0.00
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.01533%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.00520%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.030.00333%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.001840%-0.061-0.024100%0.03
Ben Wallace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.00-0.01930%-0.032-0.0620%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.73.426.419.426.52.740.1148.2
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET -9.2%
CHI +34.9%
CHI +20.6%
DET -4.8%
CHI +8.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCHINBADETCHINBA
this game18.416.315.497.6100.0104.5
season16.814.5106.1103.1
opponent15.915.798.1101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET19.717.018.718.118.4
CHI14.617.315.617.916.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Maxiell3836-0.02-0.480.460.13-53-818.518.30.1817.615.32.32
Dale Davis22-0.10-0.400.29-0.05-20-223.518.25.251.516.7-15.19
Antonio McDyess5456-0.18-0.320.13-0.5914-163017.420.2-2.7717.214.42.84
Ronald Murray4345-0.22-0.280.06-0.04-64-1019.317.41.8817.315.12.20
Lindsey Hunter1717-0.24-0.260.02-0.03-75-1219.918.01.9714.516.8-2.33
Carlos Delfino4444-0.25-0.250.00-0.6012-142616.520.4-3.8917.614.92.65
Chauncey Billups7169-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.23-53-818.418.10.3416.117.3-1.16
Tayshaun Prince7474-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.420-2218.517.11.4215.622.4-6.86
Rasheed Wallace7272-0.690.19-0.89-0.37-119-2018.914.93.9915.422.6-7.28

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ben Wallace76760.61-0.110.720.407-51216.613.92.7018.418.4-0.06
Luol Deng74750.60-0.100.700.407-51215.622.3-6.7418.913.94.98
Tyrus Thomas49480.470.030.440.4411015.118.0-2.8918.218.6-0.39
Ben Gordon63650.440.060.370.237-51216.416.10.2318.617.61.04
Kirk Hinrich68700.310.190.120.3102-216.615.31.2918.319.0-0.74
Chris Duhon35310.260.240.010.35-35-815.816.7-0.9618.218.5-0.34
P.J. Brown34350.000.50-0.500.03-13-416.216.4-0.2019.517.61.92
Malik Allen77-0.080.58-0.660.01-35-822.715.76.9814.018.8-4.78
Adrian Griffin98-0.100.60-0.700.05-57-1222.315.66.7413.918.9-4.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.82,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 86, PHI 1020.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,193.0%
CHI 87, WAS 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,193.0%
CHA 92, DEN 950.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.29,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,192.3%