NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	92		Excitement	7.6 [322]		MVP	Shane Battier (HOU): +32.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	87		Comeback	2.7 [460]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -33.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.33	0.05	0.28	0.00	5	70%	0.33	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.08	0.15	0.00	3	117%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21	0.08	0.14	0.02	14	67%	0.29	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.09
Charles Hayes	0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	-0.00	5	100%	0.14	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	13	45%	0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Kirk Snyder	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	6	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.34	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.02,-0.12,-0.23,-0.34	-0.11	-0.24	-0.01	30	42%	-0.21	4	-0.13	5	60%	-0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.12	0.00	19	62%	0.25	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.08	0.01	12	62%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,-0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.12	-0.02	13	62%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.03,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	15	34%	-0.09	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	28.5	18.0	24.3	3.3	39.2	141.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +31.5%

HOU +4.0%

HOU +19.0%

LAC -7.0%

HOU +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	15.4	16.1	15.4	101.1	94.6	104.5
season	15.6	15.7		103.6	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.7		103.6	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.5	16.0	14.0	16.9	15.4
LAC	14.9	16.0	20.2	13.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	63	64	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.16	16	-11	27	14.8	16.6	-1.80	16.5	15.1	1.39
Shane Battier	68	68	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.39	7	-2	9	14.9	16.8	-1.96	17.0	13.7	3.30
Tracy McGrady	74	77	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.45	4	1	3	14.9	17.5	-2.66	16.4	14.8	1.56
Rafer Alston	77	79	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.14	14	-9	23	14.7	18.8	-4.05	15.9	17.2	-1.22
Charles Hayes	65	64	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	-2	9	14.8	16.8	-1.97	16.7	14.6	2.11
John Lucas III	11	10	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	6	-7	19.5	14.8	4.65	19.8	15.7	4.14
Luther Head	25	24	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	11	-17	16.5	14.9	1.54	12.7	17.3	-4.54
Dikembe Mutombo	20	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	11	-17	16.4	15.1	1.39	16.0	16.1	-0.14
Kirk Snyder	19	20	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.04	-2	7	-9	17.6	14.8	2.80	14.1	16.7	-2.57
Juwan Howard	33	33	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.10	-8	13	-21	17.0	14.4	2.52	14.7	16.9	-2.20

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Ewing	10	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-1	-3	14.1	16.4	-2.25	15.8	15.3	0.49
Tim Thomas	57	55	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.33	9	-14	23	14.6	18.6	-3.97	16.2	14.0	2.21
Quinton Ross	26	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-6	7	15.5	16.3	-0.85	17.3	14.6	2.78
Chris Kaman	34	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	5	-15	17.2	15.4	1.79	14.8	15.7	-0.95
Aaron Williams	16	17	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	5	-15	18.0	15.7	2.29	13.8	15.7	-1.89
Corey Maggette	72	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-3	1	15.9	16.9	-1.07	14.7	17.7	-3.06
Elton Brand	86	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-6	7	16.1	16.8	-0.78	15.4	14.5	0.92
Jason Hart	82	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-4	3	16.4	14.1	2.25	15.3	15.8	-0.49
Cuttino Mobley	77	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.20	-9	4	-13	16.8	12.5	4.35	15.2	16.0	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.32,0.53,0.35,0.39,0.19,0.15,0.29,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 101, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.37,0.4,0.55,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.14,0.29,0.73,0	90.5%
HOU 91, CHA 86	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.18,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.27,0	89.0%
ATL 80, CHI 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.37,0.24,0.72,0	88.9%