inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 86 Excitement3.5 [1109] MVPMickael Pietrus (GSW): +16.5%
Golden State Warriors 106 Comeback1.2 [1083] LVPKevin Garnett (MIN): -12.3%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Craig Smith0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.02-0.01950%0.061-0.032100%0.01
Randy Foye0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.020.04962%0.053-0.0314100%0.03
Rashad McCants0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.000.00756%0.041-0.0220%0.00
Mark Madsen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justin Reed0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike James-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00367%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Trenton Hassell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0220%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Troy Hudson-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.03633%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Marko Jaric-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01330%-0.031-0.01475%-0.01
Ricky Davis-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.11-0.01-0.061433%0.003-0.072100%0.00
Mark Blount-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.00-0.01256%0.036-0.12560%-0.01
Kevin Garnett-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.010.011549%-0.026-0.10978%0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.110.01-0.04781%0.1700.002100%0.01
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.040.011863%0.153-0.062100%0.01
Andris Biedrins0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.00-0.02564%0.052-0.03475%-0.00
Baron Davis0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.011260%0.042-0.021100%0.00
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.02-0.00-0.041262%0.095-0.0700%0.00
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.05-0.000.05767%0.021-0.021100%-0.00
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01233%0.0000.002100%0.01
Kelenna Azubuike0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01233%0.0000.002100%0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.00-0.060100%0.004-0.002100%0.00
Jason Richardson0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.040.000.021544%-0.012-0.042100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.71.827.615.729.42.430.3135.9
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +48.0%
MIN -8.0%
MIN -11.8%
GSW +19.5%
GSW +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINGSWNBAMINGSWNBA
this game14.314.415.486.0106.0104.5
season15.413.5101.9105.7
opponent15.215.6105.7105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN14.416.413.413.414.3
GSW13.313.612.818.514.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Justin Reed550.00-0.500.50-0.124-242812.214.5-2.2619.414.25.21
Mike James2121-0.01-0.490.49-0.010-202013.514.6-1.1118.613.45.22
Trenton Hassell1920-0.08-0.420.340.09-6-14814.314.4-0.0417.413.73.69
Rashad McCants4140-0.09-0.410.31-0.121-212214.014.6-0.5516.013.42.62
Mark Madsen1314-0.11-0.390.28-0.08-1-191815.114.20.8416.414.12.30
Craig Smith4444-0.20-0.300.10-0.02-6-14813.914.7-0.7512.815.7-2.91
Troy Hudson3131-0.25-0.250.010.19-15-5-1015.014.10.9413.514.9-1.35
Randy Foye6969-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.11-5-151014.115.0-0.9414.913.51.35
Marko Jaric6363-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.00-10-10014.713.71.0313.416.2-2.80
Kevin Garnett8686-0.32-0.18-0.140.06-13-7-614.215.1-0.9214.514.40.11
Mark Blount3635-0.36-0.14-0.230.22-200-2015.413.71.6713.215.1-1.92
Ricky Davis7272-0.530.03-0.560.32-299-3814.414.30.0413.317.4-4.04

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Richardson76780.460.040.42-0.1621-12213.617.2-3.6815.111.73.36
Monta Ellis70700.460.040.42-0.3628-83614.215.1-0.9314.913.01.88
Al Harrington46480.440.060.38-0.152002012.715.9-3.2515.413.41.97
Andris Biedrins72730.400.100.30-0.01146814.215.2-1.0614.912.91.95
Mickael Pietrus42420.280.220.060.19317-1415.413.81.5614.014.6-0.56
Baron Davis50480.260.240.01-0.10128415.613.32.2613.615.1-1.47
Kelenna Azubuike14130.110.39-0.280.08119-1816.414.12.3015.114.20.84
Stephen Jackson62630.090.41-0.320.15-222-2414.214.9-0.7213.415.9-2.49
Josh Powell27260.090.41-0.32-0.03416-1215.014.20.7513.414.7-1.30
Sarunas Jasikevicius650.000.50-0.500.06-222-2419.214.15.0212.214.5-2.26
Matt Barnes3534-0.080.58-0.66-0.11119-1815.613.81.7712.915.1-2.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 83, CHA 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
BOS 90, TOR 1140.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
DEN 86, SAS 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.3%