NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	99		Excitement	5.8 [670]		MVP	Allen Iverson (DEN): +18.6%
Denver Nuggets	107		Comeback	1.1 [1173]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -14.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.02	0.04	17	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02
Brandon Roy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	13	53%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ime Udoka	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	12	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.04	0.05	11	54%	-0.03	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	27	42%	-0.03	5	-0.12	8	75%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.13	0.02	20	55%	0.23	2	-0.04	16	87%	0.02
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	10	52%	0.09	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	22	52%	0.06	3	-0.07	12	75%	-0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.00	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.7	29.9	15.5	26.3	2.5	33.5	133.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +31.9%

DEN +10.4%

POR -6.1%

DEN +11.2%

DEN +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DEN	NBA	POR	DEN	NBA
this game	15.0	13.7	15.4	98.0	107.0	104.5
season	16.7	14.0		103.1	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		104.5	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.5	14.8	13.5	14.5	15.0
DEN	13.2	11.4	14.8	15.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	82	81	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.33	6	-14	20	14.6	16.8	-2.23	14.1	11.7	2.45
Sergio Rodriguez	13	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	3	-14	15.5	14.9	0.55	9.8	14.3	-4.48
Ime Udoka	65	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.21	0	-8	8	14.8	15.3	-0.46	14.0	13.1	0.92
Travis Outlaw	53	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-9	10	14.3	15.7	-1.47	14.0	13.3	0.67
LaMarcus Aldridge	69	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-7	6	15.2	14.4	0.84	13.3	14.4	-1.04
Jamaal Magloire	22	23	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	2	-12	15.5	14.8	0.72	14.0	13.6	0.37
Martell Webster	27	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	3	-14	15.0	15.0	0.03	12.4	14.2	-1.77
Brandon Roy	91	89	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	15.3	12.4	2.86	13.9	12.2	1.67
Jarrett Jack	83	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	1	-10	15.2	13.9	1.26	13.8	13.0	0.80

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	93	94	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-3	14	13.7	13.1	0.57	14.9	16.7	-1.86
Nene	62	64	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	4	0	14.7	12.0	2.69	14.8	15.3	-0.46
Marcus Camby	76	77	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	-1	10	13.3	14.8	-1.53	15.8	12.3	3.53
Carmelo Anthony	80	81	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	3	2	13.4	14.9	-1.54	15.7	12.1	3.59
Eduardo Najera	60	59	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	2	4	13.1	14.5	-1.47	14.4	15.8	-1.42
Steve Blake	60	62	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	2	4	13.2	14.3	-1.13	15.8	13.6	2.18
Linas Kleiza	37	35	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	8	-8	14.0	13.5	0.52	13.0	16.0	-2.99
J.R. Smith	32	33	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	9	-10	14.8	13.1	1.63	13.5	15.7	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 83, POR 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,1	94.9%
SAS 87, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.7%
GSW 101, DAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.94,1,1	94.7%