inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 92 Excitement6.4 [546] MVPShaquille O'Neal (MIA): +20.8%
Washington Wizards 83 Comeback1.1 [629] LVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): -20.5%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.090.12-0.011756%0.2100.00714%-0.15
Jason Williams0.160,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.160.150.020.011472%0.181-0.024100%0.02
Eddie Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.030.06-0.030.06865%-0.011-0.024100%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.030,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.02-0.031250%0.013-0.0500%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02250%0.023-0.06450%-0.01
Gary Payton-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.01520%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Antoine Walker-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.00617%-0.0700.0000%0.00
James Posey-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.00-0.030.06443%-0.0900.006100%0.00
Jason Kapono-0.140,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.040.011132%-0.072-0.0700%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.00869%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Donell Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.00450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00233%-0.0200.002100%0.02
Andray Blatche0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02837%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.01-0.050.02557%-0.021-0.04450%-0.03
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07-0.070.08-0.080.061556%-0.0700.00475%-0.00
Darius Songaila0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.00643%-0.004-0.102100%0.02
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.07-0.011436%-0.091-0.0400%0.00
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.17-0.06-0.031831%-0.142-0.071275%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.32.732.216.427.32.435.4137.6
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +53.7%
WAS -16.1%
MIA +0.9%
MIA +12.3%
WAS -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAWASNBAMIAWASNBA
this game17.316.215.4107.096.5104.5
season16.014.8102.4107.8
opponent15.315.6108.7104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.218.917.216.017.3
WAS17.017.914.915.316.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal63630.71-0.210.920.2117-82518.713.55.1917.013.93.13
Jason Williams67670.68-0.180.870.2714-51917.915.12.8616.714.42.36
Eddie Jones68670.65-0.150.790.0919-102917.018.2-1.1216.116.7-0.61
Jason Kapono66660.51-0.010.510.2110-11116.918.4-1.4616.116.5-0.38
Udonis Haslem60600.400.100.290.1010-11116.219.8-3.6815.318.2-2.90
Antoine Walker23230.020.48-0.460.05-110-1119.616.43.1218.515.43.16
James Posey3838-0.060.56-0.610.18-817-2516.218.1-1.8715.416.9-1.46
Alonzo Mourning1819-0.200.70-0.910.06-918-2717.017.4-0.3514.916.6-1.62
Gary Payton2727-0.210.71-0.91-0.00-716-2316.117.8-1.7615.516.5-1.01

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio Daniels19180.06-0.560.62-0.033-121514.416.7-2.3018.616.91.61
Darius Songaila36360.01-0.510.52-0.052-111315.416.8-1.4116.817.6-0.77
Etan Thomas1314-0.07-0.430.37-0.04-1-8719.015.73.2919.416.92.48
Donell Taylor1314-0.07-0.430.37-0.04-1-8719.015.73.2919.416.92.48
Roger Mason Jr.3435-0.10-0.400.30-0.224-131715.216.9-1.6616.317.9-1.63
Andray Blatche3838-0.19-0.310.120.01-7-2-517.315.32.0316.617.8-1.16
Brendan Haywood6967-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.23-7-2-516.116.6-0.5518.114.53.60
Gilbert Arenas7980-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.25-8-1-716.117.0-0.8617.217.7-0.42
DeShawn Stevenson5454-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.17-112-1316.216.3-0.1116.318.9-2.59
Jarvis Hayes7574-0.730.23-0.96-0.17-1910-2916.216.5-0.2817.217.7-0.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.19,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.29,0.17,0.35,0.27,0.15,0.07,0.03,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 91, ORL 840.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.3,0.17,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.01,093.3%
BOS 86, DET 780.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,093.0%
UTA 82, PHX 740.5,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,092.9%