NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	82		Excitement	5.7 [401]		MVP	Thurl Bailey (UTA): +10.7%
Phoenix Suns	74		Comeback	1.2 [511]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -29.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thurl Bailey	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.02	5	57%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Karl Malone	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.02	20	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Todd Fuller	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	7	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
John Stockton	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Avent	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	5	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	35%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jeff Hornacek	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	13	41%	-0.02	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	69%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	12	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Luc Longley	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	5	29%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	0.01
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	6	36%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rex Chapman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.05	0.02	11	27%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.18,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.21	-0.09	0.00	14	34%	-0.15	6	-0.15	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	0.2	30.1	15.0	27.1	1.7	27.3	127.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +53.4%

PHX -13.3%

PHX -6.5%

UTA +11.6%

UTA +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	17.7	15.2	15.8	92.1	86.0	99.6
season	16.4	15.3		102.6	102.7
opponent	15.9	16.0		101.3	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.3	18.5	14.9	21.4	17.7
PHX	16.4	13.4	17.1	13.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	62	59	0.57	-0.08	0.65	0.19	13	-5	18	17.3	18.5	-1.20	15.7	14.0	1.73
Jeff Hornacek	57	54	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-8	24	16.2	20.4	-4.20	15.5	14.6	0.89
Karl Malone	67	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.06	10	-2	12	16.5	21.2	-4.70	14.4	17.5	-3.03
Todd Fuller	42	39	0.35	0.14	0.20	-0.03	13	-5	18	14.9	20.2	-5.27	16.4	14.1	2.29
Howard Eisley	26	29	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	3	2	21.2	16.2	4.95	16.1	14.7	1.38
John Stockton	63	58	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	5	-2	16.2	21.2	-4.95	14.6	16.5	-1.90
Adam Keefe	45	45	0.18	0.31	-0.13	0.24	-2	10	-12	19.9	15.4	4.50	14.1	16.3	-2.21
Thurl Bailey	28	28	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	10	-12	21.2	16.1	5.10	17.1	14.2	2.90
Shandon Anderson	32	32	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.25	-8	16	-24	20.4	16.2	4.20	14.6	15.5	-0.89
Greg Foster	13	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.10	-6	14	-20	21.4	17.1	4.33	16.3	15.0	1.25
Anthony Avent	10	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	10	-12	14.8	18.1	-3.25	10.9	15.7	-4.85

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Morris	27	28	-0.02	-0.47	0.44	-0.23	7	-15	22	15.3	15.2	0.11	20.9	16.2	4.73
Danny Manning	38	38	-0.03	-0.46	0.43	-0.21	6	-14	20	14.3	15.9	-1.61	19.6	16.2	3.40
Shawn Respert	20	21	-0.05	-0.44	0.39	-0.20	5	-13	18	15.8	15.0	0.87	20.2	16.9	3.34
Clifford Robinson	40	41	-0.18	-0.31	0.13	-0.24	2	-10	12	15.0	15.3	-0.25	20.5	15.3	5.24
Gerald Brown	13	12	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	0.12	-11	3	-14	16.7	14.9	1.77	14.7	18.1	-3.39
Jason Kidd	61	63	-0.31	-0.18	-0.13	-0.25	-2	-6	4	14.0	18.0	-3.91	17.5	18.1	-0.55
George McCloud	59	61	-0.38	-0.11	-0.27	-0.03	-12	4	-16	14.9	15.9	-0.97	16.0	21.4	-5.36
Tom Gugliotta	73	77	-0.39	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-4	0	15.2	15.2	-0.05	17.5	18.7	-1.13
Luc Longley	57	59	-0.41	-0.08	-0.33	0.00	-14	6	-20	15.7	14.2	1.53	15.9	21.2	-5.35
Rex Chapman	42	45	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	9	-26	16.7	13.7	2.94	16.2	19.2	-3.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 112, HOU 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.18,0.11,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%
MIN 107, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.24,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.9%
BOS 86, DET 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	93.8%