NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	82		Excitement	7.2 [393]		MVP	Brad Miller (SAC): +8.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	2.2 [613]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -30.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.06	0.04	14	58%	0.11	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Kevin Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.05	0.03	15	66%	0.11	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Ronnie Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	14	42%	-0.02	4	-0.12	3	33%	-0.05
Mike Bibby	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.19	-0.12	-0.01	14	24%	-0.16	4	-0.14	1	0%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	75%	0.23	4	-0.16	4	50%	0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	4	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	4	78%	0.13	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	15	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.03
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	9	39%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	17	51%	0.15	6	-0.20	9	89%	0.05
Rodney Carney	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	11	23%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.7	25.3	15.7	24.0	1.8	31.5	122.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +43.6%

PHI +5.6%

PHI +10.8%

SAC -4.6%

SAC -5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHI	NBA	SAC	PHI	NBA
this game	14.6	14.9	15.4	84.5	90.8	104.5
season	14.7	15.5		104.7	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.1		105.2	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.3	17.0	16.0	12.5	14.6
PHI	16.0	14.3	14.0	15.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	51	51	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-8	9	14.7	14.6	0.10	14.7	15.1	-0.32
Corliss Williamson	11	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-7	7	16.9	14.3	2.56	14.2	15.0	-0.74
Ronnie Price	19	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-4	1	17.3	14.0	3.26	13.0	15.4	-2.35
John Salmons	32	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-4	1	15.6	14.2	1.47	15.5	14.6	0.88
Francisco Garcia	31	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-1	-5	16.0	14.0	2.00	13.0	15.9	-2.91
Mike Bibby	72	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-5	3	14.1	16.2	-2.05	15.4	13.7	1.66
Kevin Martin	79	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-5	3	14.0	17.3	-3.24	15.4	12.7	2.73
Metta World Peace	75	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-1	-5	14.2	16.3	-2.11	15.3	13.7	1.52
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	40	41	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	1	-9	15.0	14.4	0.61	12.5	16.6	-4.14
Brad Miller	75	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.37	-6	-1	-5	14.1	16.6	-2.58	16.2	10.7	5.49

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	78	76	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.39	13	-6	19	15.4	12.8	2.64	14.7	14.5	0.21
Kyle Korver	67	66	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	2	3	14.1	16.6	-2.51	15.0	14.0	0.99
Andre Miller	78	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-2	11	15.4	13.1	2.26	14.4	15.9	-1.53
Andre Iguodala	79	78	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	1	5	15.4	12.7	2.75	14.3	16.2	-1.89
Joe Smith	55	54	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.31	6	1	5	14.1	15.9	-1.72	14.7	14.6	0.10
Willie Green	22	23	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	7	-7	12.0	15.7	-3.68	16.2	14.2	2.01
Lou Williams	20	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	9	-11	13.1	15.4	-2.26	15.9	14.4	1.53
Rodney Carney	31	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.09	2	5	-3	16.6	14.1	2.51	14.0	15.0	-0.99
Steven Hunter	60	60	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.16	-4	11	-15	15.2	14.4	0.86	14.4	15.0	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.78,0.8,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 81, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.93,1,1,1,1	94.3%
WAS 76, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.94,0.98,1,1	93.4%
BKN 82, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.65,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.1%